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Model picks & player props
Chicago Bulls
VS
Indiana Pacers

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 109.5 (Team Total Points)
For Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers (NBA), model win probability 85.8%, fair odds 1.17, book price -500, model edge +2.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Over
109.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BullsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BullsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Bulls

  • Noa Essengue FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Wilson FDay-to-day
  • Dailyn Swain GDay-to-day
  • Zach Collins FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Smith FDay-to-day
  • Josh Giddey GDay-to-day
  • Nic Claxton CDay-to-day
  • Isaac Okoro FDay-to-day
  • Rob Dillingham GDay-to-day

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut
Availability updated Jul 17, 9:34PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsChicago Bulls @ Indiana PacersNo line posted

Indiana Pacers and Chicago Bulls combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadIndiana Pacers spreadNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) meet Chicago Bulls; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineIndiana Pacers to winNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) host or visit Chicago Bulls; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Chicago Bulls; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Chicago Bulls totalNo line posted

Chicago Bulls averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls : Over 218.5 Total Points (-1667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Over 218.5' bet on the Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls game is a strong choice considering the recent scoring trends of both teams. The Pacers and Bulls have both consistently scored above this threshold in their last five games, with average scores of 122.2 and 108.6 respectively. This surpasses the set total of 218.5 comfortably. Additionally, the Pacers' opponents have been scoring an average of 125.6 points, while the Bulls' opponents average 105.6 - further supporting the likelihood of a high scoring match. The model prediction also strongly suggests a total score of 248.72, far exceeding the bet's point outcome. The high implied probability of 94.3% indicates that this outcome is extremely likely according to our predictive model. Therefore, statistical trends and data strongly back the 'Over 218.5' bet in this game.

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls : Indiana Pacers Over 109.5 Team Total Points (-500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Indiana Pacers Over 109.5' points is strongly justified by recent performance data. The Pacers have consistently scored above this total in their last five games, both overall and at home. Their overall average score in the last five games is 122.2 points, while at home it's 121 points. This means, on average, they are scoring significantly more than the 109.5 points target. The model prediction further strengthens this bet, forecasting the Pacers to score 127.1 points. Even with their slightly poor home record recently (2-3 overall and 1-4 at home), their scoring ability has remained high, indicating a solid offensive performance. Therefore, betting on the Pacers scoring over 109.5 points seems statistically sound.

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls : Chicago Bulls win (-175)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Despite the model prediction favoring Indiana Pacers, the bet on Chicago Bulls is reasonable given the recent performance records. The Bulls have a stronger away record (3-2) compared to the Pacers' home record (1-4) over the last 5 games, indicating better recent form on the road. In the last 5 games, the Bulls have also outscored the Pacers when playing away (111.6 to 121), which suggests their scoring ability isn't significantly hampered when not playing on home court. Moreover, the Pacers' dominant record against the Bulls (3-1) in the last 5 games may not hold as this includes previous season matches. Therefore, considering the Bulls' recent form and scoring ability away from home, this bet is justified.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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