Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Rogers is Under 18.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 76%, implied 66%, edge +21.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 5 of the last 5
Under 5.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 13, 6:25AM UTC
MLB

Trevor Rogers

MLB

+21.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Outs Under 18.5 -196 (1.51) · $100→$151
+21.6% Edge
Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:37PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 29 of 156 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
11.9 Pitcher - Outs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.8% · the book's price implies 66.2% · gap +21.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs87.8%75.8%66.2%1.32+21.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles: Trevor Rogers Under 18.5 Pitcher - Outs (-196)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tonight, we need Trevor Rogers to get fewer than 19 outs against the Baltimore Orioles. Rogers has struggled lately, allowing runs at a much better rate than the league average, which could lead to a short outing for him. The Orioles are hitting well against left-handed pitchers this year, so they might put some pressure on him early. The Blue Jays have been scoring a lot lately, averaging 1.6 runs more than their opponents in recent games. While Toronto has won 5 of their last 10, Rogers is still facing a lineup that has found its rhythm. With Baltimore's ability to hit lefties, it's possible Rogers won't last long tonight.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Trevor Rogers's lines for Sun 13 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Outs 18.5
+150 best over price · 5 books

Trevor Rogers's pitcher outs line is 18.5, best over price +150 across 5 books.

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Trevor Rogers has gone over 2.5 SO in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.560%
o3.530%
o4.510%
o5.510%
o6.50%
o7.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -196 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
02 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
27 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
27 Aug 26 Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Trevor Rogers is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Rogers is Under 18.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.6% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday 13 September at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.