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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Rogers is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 5 of the last 5
Under 5.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 9:30AM UTC
MLB

Trevor Rogers

MLB

Value call

Trevor Rogers has one live pick today: Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Fri 25 Sep, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
1.3 Pitcher - Walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.1% · before adjusting for past results 62.3% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap -2.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks62.3%53.1%55.6%1.92+6.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Trevor Rogers Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-125)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Trevor Rogers Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-125). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (23 picks) 69.6% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Trevor Rogers has gone over 2.5 SO in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.560%
o3.530%
o4.510%
o5.510%
o6.50%
o7.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under +143 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
25 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Trevor Rogers is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 69.6% on tracked Trevor Rogers picks. The latest model pick for Trevor Rogers is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees on Friday 25 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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