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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
San Francisco Giants

New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 11:22PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Outdoor
Thu 26 Mar 2026, 12:05AM
20
Game markets graded
23
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 9.5 (Total Runs)
The model graded 43 markets for New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $380 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 30.7%, fair odds 3.26, book price +280, model edge +4.4%. Tip-off Thu 26 Mar 2026, 12:05AM at Oracle Park.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 559 of 1,032 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 5.5
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $363
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Over
11.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Weathers SP

San Francisco Giants

  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Carson Whisenhunt SP
Availability updated Aug 12, 1:45AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Ryan McMahon COL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Willy Adames MIL Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ryan McMahon COL Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Rafael Devers BOS Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ben Rice Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Francisco GiantsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L54-1

San Francisco Giants moneyline form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Francisco Giants run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L54-1

San Francisco Giants spread form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Francisco Giants vs New York YankeesNo line posted

San Francisco Giants total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Francisco Giants team totalNo line posted
1.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L54-1

San Francisco Giants team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants — what the model found

Our model graded 43 betting markets for New York Yankees at San Francisco Giants — 20 on the game itself and 23 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
23
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 43 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 42 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants — recent results

San Francisco Giants have won 1 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5.

San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3DETHome
W5–2DETHome
L0–8DETHome
L4–5TEXAway
L0–6TEXAway
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLHome
W5–4ATLHome
W3–2ATLHome
L1–3STLHome
W2–0STLHome

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Matt Gage RPOUT
Daniel Susac COUT
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
Matt Chapman 3BOUT
Harrison Bader CFOUT
Joel Peguero RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Casey Schmitt LFOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees. Includes analysis on key players like Austin Wells. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees stats and odds.

Austin Wells (NYY) Under 0.5 Singles (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants host the Yankees on March 26, eyes will be on Austin Wells as he steps up to the plate. While he’s shown flashes of potential, recent trends indicate he might struggle against the Giants' left-handed ace. Wells has been in a bit of a funk, with his batting average dipping significantly against pitchers who can command the outer edges of the zone—something the Giants' starter excels at. Moreover, the Yankees' lineup has been inconsistent, particularly against southpaws, often failing to find their rhythm early in games. With the Giants' bullpen also ready to close the door, even if Wells gets on, scoring opportunities could be scarce. Given all this, betting on Wells to stay under 0.5 singles feels like a wise move. The combination of his current form and the matchup dynamics suggest he might just find it tough to get that bat on the ball tonight.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Giants, or as Giants vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Thursday 26 March 2026 at Oracle Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 23 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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