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Model picks & player props
MLB
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Outdoor
Wed 25 Mar 2026, 8:05 PM ET
New York Yankees
VS
San Francisco Giants

New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 43 markets for New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $380.

20
Game markets graded
23
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 9.5 total runs
Over 9.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$38.00Best price+280
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.7%
The price says26.3%

The model graded 43 markets for New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $380 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 25 Mar 2026, 8:05 PM ET at Oracle Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Long-shot31% chance +280
Spread Members only Long-shot28% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean48% chance Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 2 props Highup to 90% Members
Batter - Hits × 7 props Highup to 91% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 1 prop Highup to 85% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 77% Members
Batter - Singles × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 1 prop Highup to 78% Members
Batter - Doubles × 5 props Highup to 91% Members
Batter - Walks × 2 props Highup to 78% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Yankees and San Francisco Giants last met on Wed 25 Mar 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 23 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 70,470+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

San Francisco Giants

  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Blade Tidwell SPOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Adrian Houser SPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Bryce Eldridge DHOut
  • Nate Furman 2BOut
  • Logan Webb SPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Rafael Devers 1BOut
  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut
Availability updated Sep 30, 10:22PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 25 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability25 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ryan McMahon COL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Willy Adames MIL Batter - Hits
Ryan McMahon COL Batter - Hits
Rafael Devers BOS Batter - Hits
Ben Rice Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 23 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Francisco GiantsNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs New York Yankees L50-5

San Francisco Giants moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Francisco Giants run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs New York Yankees L50-5

San Francisco Giants spread form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Francisco Giants vs New York YankeesNo line posted

San Francisco Giants total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Francisco Giants team totalNo line posted
3.0runs we expect
L5 RF2.0L5 RA2.8Home L51-4vs New York Yankees L50-5

San Francisco Giants team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants — what the model found

Our model graded 43 betting markets for New York Yankees at San Francisco Giants — 20 on the game itself and 23 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
23
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 43 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 42 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants — recent results

San Francisco Giants have won 0 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5.

San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5LADHome
L0–2LADHome
L3–4LADHome
L2–3MINHome
L2–4MINHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome

New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: San Francisco Giants won 0, New York Yankees won 3.

DateSan Francisco GiantsNew York YankeesWinner
Mar 2813New York Yankees
Mar 2703New York Yankees
Mar 2607New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

25 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Keaton Winn RPOUT
Blade Tidwell SPOUT
Joel Peguero RPOUT
Adrian Houser SPOUT
Matt Gage RPOUT
Willy Adames SSOUT
Bryce Eldridge DHOUT
Nate Furman 2BOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees. Includes analysis on key players like Austin Wells. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees stats and odds.

Austin Wells (NYY) Under 0.5 Singles (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants host the Yankees on March 26, eyes will be on Austin Wells as he steps up to the plate. While he’s shown flashes of potential, recent trends indicate he might struggle against the Giants' left-handed ace. Wells has been in a bit of a funk, with his batting average dipping significantly against pitchers who can command the outer edges of the zone—something the Giants' starter excels at. Moreover, the Yankees' lineup has been inconsistent, particularly against southpaws, often failing to find their rhythm early in games. With the Giants' bullpen also ready to close the door, even if Wells gets on, scoring opportunities could be scarce. Given all this, betting on Wells to stay under 0.5 singles feels like a wise move. The combination of his current form and the matchup dynamics suggest he might just find it tough to get that bat on the ball tonight.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Giants, or as Giants vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 25 March 2026 at Oracle Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 23 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants head-to-head record

Final scores · 13 meetings on record
New York Yankees 10–3 across the last 13 meetings · these games average 8.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sat 28 Mar 2026, New York Yankees at San Francisco Giants: the Yankees won 3-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants1–3New York Yankees
27 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants0–3New York Yankees
26 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants0–7New York Yankees
25 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants0–7New York Yankees
13 Apr 2025San Francisco Giants @ New York Yankees4–5San Francisco Giants
12 Apr 2025San Francisco Giants @ New York Yankees8–4New York Yankees
11 Apr 2025San Francisco Giants @ New York Yankees1–9San Francisco Giants
2 Jun 2024New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants5–7New York Yankees
1 Jun 2024New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants3–7New York Yankees
31 May 2024New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants2–6New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 13 meetings on file.

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