Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rafael Devers is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 43%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 2:53PM UTC
MLB

Rafael Devers

BOS

Rafael Devers has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 that pays $224 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 +124 (2.24) · $100→$224
San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Sun 13 Sep, 11:20PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Devers (abdomen) is expected to undergo season-ending surgery Tuesday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
updated Sep 13, 9:23PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.5% · before adjusting for past results 42.1% · the book's price implies 44.6% · gap -2.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored42.1%42.5%44.6%2.35-2.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/3
Last 10 games0/3

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Rafael Devers (BOS) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+124)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

San Francisco Giants play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Rafael Devers (BOS) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+124). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +124 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Rafael Devers is averaging 0.4 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.8 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.4
Hits
0.2
HR
0.8
RBI
1.0
Runs
1.4
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Rafael Devers has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 90% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.590%
o1.580%
o2.560%
o3.540%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Rafael Devers is averaging 0.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.4 in away games, including his recent form against SFG.

0.4
Hits · Overall
0.4
Hits · Away
0.8
Hits · vs SFG
0.2
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs SFG
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Walks Pending
12 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Total Bases Pending
12 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Runs Scored Pending
12 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Batter - RBIs Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Rafael Devers (BOS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rafael Devers is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.5% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants on Sunday 13 September at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.