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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
VS
New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees and backs New York Yankees -2.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $385.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Yankees
to win by 3+ runs
New York Yankees -2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$38.50Best price+285
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.6%
The price says26.0%

The model graded 20 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $385 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Yankees -2.5 Lean53% chance +285
Spread Members only High62% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High76% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean55% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees last met on Sun 21 Jun 2026: Cincinnati Reds won 4-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Dane Myers CFOut

New York Yankees

  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
Availability updated Nov 10, 9:43PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
5.2runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5TORAway
W5–1TORAway
L5–6TORAway
W7–6ATLAway
L2–3ATLAway

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game (4-1) while Cincinnati Reds are at 5.4 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 2.6 for Cincinnati Reds.

6.0
New York Yankees runs/G
5.4
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesCincinnati Reds
Runs / game6.05.4
Hits / game7.85.6
Home runs / game2.01.0
Walks drawn / game1.42.2
Batter K / game4.05.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.42.6
Pitching K / game5.03.2
Walks allowed / game0.41.8
L5 record4-13-2

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 1, Cincinnati Reds won 2.

DateNew York YankeesCincinnati RedsWinner
Jun 2114Cincinnati Reds
Jun 20210Cincinnati Reds
Jun 1950New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Max Fried SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Dane Myers CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds stats and odds.

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 8.5 Total Runs (-105)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 June 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 21 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds beat New York Yankees 4-1 on the road
  • 20 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds beat New York Yankees 10-2 on the road
  • 19 Jun 2026New York Yankees beat Cincinnati Reds 5-0 at home

Cincinnati Reds: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Toronto Blue Jays 1-5
  2. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Toronto Blue Jays 5-1
  3. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Toronto Blue Jays 5-6
  4. 24 Sep 2026Wonat Atlanta Braves 7-6
  5. 23 Sep 2026Lostat Atlanta Braves 2-3

New York Yankees: last 5 results

  1. 7 Oct 2026Lostvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-4
  2. 5 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 2-5
  3. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 0-1
  4. 30 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-2
  5. 29 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-0

Quick answers

Who won the last New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds game? Cincinnati Reds won their last meeting 4-1 on 21 June 2026.

How have Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees done lately? Cincinnati Reds won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. New York Yankees won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: the season so far

From every final score this season

Cincinnati Reds are 75-87 this season and New York Yankees are 95-71. New York Yankees are 48-35 at home. Cincinnati Reds are 37-44 on the road. New York Yankees score 4.6 runs a game and let in 3.7. Cincinnati Reds score 4.1 and let in 5.1. New York Yankees games have averaged 8.3 runs in total; Cincinnati Reds games have averaged 9.2. New York Yankees have lost their last 3.

SeasonCincinnati RedsNew York Yankees
Won-lost75-8795-71
At home38-4348-35
On the road37-4447-36
Last 104-65-5
Runs scored a game4.14.6
Runs let in a game5.13.7
Runs scored at home4.04.8
Runs scored away4.24.3
Against winning sides36-5234-34
Current runLost 1Lost 3
Biggest win15-1 vs Washington Nationals16-1 vs Boston Red Sox
Heaviest loss20-0 at Milwaukee Brewers12-2 vs New York Mets

Teams they have both played

  • Against Tampa Bay Rays: New York Yankees lost 3-4 at home; Cincinnati Reds lost 1-6 on the road.
  • Against Boston Red Sox: New York Yankees won 9-2 at home; Cincinnati Reds won 3-2 at home.
  • Against Baltimore Orioles: New York Yankees won 6-3 at home; Cincinnati Reds won 3-2 at home.

Quick answers

How are New York Yankees doing this season? New York Yankees are 95-71 this season: 48-35 at home and 47-36 on the road.

How many runs do Cincinnati Reds score a game? Cincinnati Reds score 4.1 runs a game this season and let in 5.1, across 162 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 21 Jun 2026, Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees: the Reds won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees1–4Cincinnati Reds
20 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees2–10Cincinnati Reds
19 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees5–0New York Yankees
25 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds1–7New York Yankees
24 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds5–4Cincinnati Reds
23 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds6–1Cincinnati Reds
4 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees4–8Cincinnati Reds
3 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees2–3Cincinnati Reds
2 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees4–5Cincinnati Reds
21 May 2023New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds1–4New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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