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Model picks & player props
Cincinnati Reds
VS
New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 1, 9:55AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Yankees -3.5 (Spread)
For Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees (MLB), model win probability 43.2%, fair odds 2.31, book price +430, model edge +24.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Jun 2026, 5:35PM at Yankee Stadium.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-4.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Nick Lodolo SPOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Brandon Williamson SPOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut

Probable pitcher

Hunter Greene SP

New York Yankees

  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Jul 31, 10:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA1.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2Win rec7-15

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA1.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2ATS7-17

New York Yankees spread form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
3.7implied team total
L5 RF3.8L5 RA1.2Home L54-1vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game (4-1) while Cincinnati Reds are at 5.4 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 2.6 for Cincinnati Reds.

6.0
New York Yankees runs/G
5.4
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesCincinnati Reds
Runs / game6.05.4
Hits / game7.85.6
Home runs / game2.01.0
Walks drawn / game1.42.2
Batter K / game4.05.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.42.6
Pitching K / game5.03.2
Walks allowed / game0.41.8
L5 record4-13-2

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees — model preview

<p>Latest MLB betting preview: New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds stats and odds.</p>

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 8.5 Total Runs (-105)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 9.5 Total Runs (+136)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 7.5 Total Runs (-159)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 8.5 Total Runs (-114)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
21 Jun 26 Moneyline New York Yankees ✗ MISS
21 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -4.5 ✗ MISS
21 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -3.5 ✗ MISS
21 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -1.5 ✗ MISS
21 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +7.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 21 June 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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