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Model picks & player props
Cincinnati Reds
VS
New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 21, 12:41PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Yankees -2.5 Spread +285

The model graded 20 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $385 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Jun 2026, 5:35PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.6%
The price says26.0%
Best price+285
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Yankees -2.5 Lean53% chance +285
Spread Lean43% chance
Spread High62% chance
Moneyline High76% chance
Spread Long-shot34% chance
Spread High84% chance
Spread Long-shot26% chance
Spread High89% chance
Spread High93% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 9.5 · $100 returned $196

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 840 of 1,690 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 21
Under 4.5
Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $483
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-5.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Brandon Williamson SPOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut

Probable pitcher

Brady Singer SP

New York Yankees

  • Ryan McMahon 3BDay-to-day
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Probable pitcher

Gerrit Cole SP
Availability updated Aug 20, 10:35PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2Free board15-15

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Cincinnati Reds L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–1BALAway
W5–3BALAway
W3–1BALAway
W4–3TORAway
L1–4TORAway
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L9–10STLHome
W5–4STLHome
L0–3STLHome
W6–5STLHome
L1–2STLHome

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game (4-1) while Cincinnati Reds are at 5.4 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 2.6 for Cincinnati Reds.

6.0
New York Yankees runs/G
5.4
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesCincinnati Reds
Runs / game6.05.4
Hits / game7.85.6
Home runs / game2.01.0
Walks drawn / game1.42.2
Batter K / game4.05.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.42.6
Pitching K / game5.03.2
Walks allowed / game0.41.8
L5 record4-13-2

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 1, Cincinnati Reds won 2.

DateNew York YankeesCincinnati RedsWinner
Jun 2114Cincinnati Reds
Jun 20210Cincinnati Reds
Jun 1950New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Ryan McMahon 3BDAY-TO-DAY
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Max Fried SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Brandon Williamson SPOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Graham Ashcraft RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
20 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 June 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Cincinnati Reds 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees1–4Cincinnati Reds
20 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees2–10Cincinnati Reds
19 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees5–0New York Yankees
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