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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Pirates
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 20, 11:09PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 2:10AM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Los Angeles Dodgers (Moneyline)
The model graded 6 markets for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $143 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 75.7%, fair odds 1.32, book price -233, model edge +5.8%. Tip-off Sat 22 Aug 2026, 2:10AM at Dodger Stadium.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 834 of 1,664 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 20
Under 5.5
Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $378
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line

Best price right now

Caesars
on Pittsburgh Pirates
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Endy Rodriguez COut
  • Ryan O'Hearn RFOut
  • Konnor Griffin SSOut
  • Mitch Keller SPOut

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Hunter Feduccia CDay-to-day
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
Availability updated Aug 19, 11:04PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineLos Angeles Dodgers to win-233
76%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Pittsburgh Pirates L53-2Free board10-8

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline vs Pittsburgh Pirates is live and our model makes it 76% (HIGH); L5 record 4-1.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run line-1.5 -102
55%cover %
+2.2proj. margin
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Pittsburgh Pirates L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers spread vs Pittsburgh Pirates is live and our model makes it 55% (LEAN); proj. margin +2.2.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh PiratesOver 8 -112
58%over %
8.9proj. runs
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Pittsburgh Pirates L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs vs Pittsburgh Pirates is live and our model makes it 58% (LEAN); proj. runs 8.9.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
2.9runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Pittsburgh Pirates L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Pirates have won 3 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4COLAway
W7–6COLAway
W11–5COLAway
L2–6MILHome
W3–1MILHome
Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3DETHome
W4–1DETHome
L5–8DETHome
W8–3BOSHome
L0–4BOSHome

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 2, Pittsburgh Pirates won 1.

DateLos Angeles DodgersPittsburgh PiratesWinner
Jun 1186Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 1089Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 9123Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Hunter Feduccia CDAY-TO-DAY
Bobby Miller SPOUT
Tyler Glasnow SPOUT
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Will Smith COUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Dalton Rushing COUT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Endy Rodriguez COUT
Ryan O'Hearn RFOUT
Konnor Griffin SSOUT
Mitch Keller SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Our Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for August 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 21, 2026 our model has run Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Los Angeles Dodgers Win (-233), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 3 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Pirates vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Pirates. The next scheduled game is Saturday 22 August 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Los Angeles Dodgers 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
11 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates6–8Los Angeles Dodgers
10 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates9–8Pittsburgh Pirates
9 Jun 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates3–12Los Angeles Dodgers
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