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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Gonzales is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +12.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 3:49PM UTC
MLB

Nick Gonzales

PIT

+12.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -263 (1.38)
+12.4% Edge
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 439 of 781 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.9%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs84.9%72.5%1.18+12.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Nick Gonzales (PIT) Under 0.5 RBIs (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Gonzales (PIT) Under 0.5 RBIs (-263). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -278
67%hit L10
Streak2
Game log vs U 1.51 / 3 hit
220

Nick Gonzales MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -278.

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 -164
67%hit L10
Streak2
Game log vs U 1.55 / 10 hit
2315130012

Nick Gonzales MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at -164.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs NYMU 1.5 +101
Game log vs U 1.53 / 4 hit
0012

Nick Gonzales MLB hits + runs + rbis vs NYM. Current line U 1.5 at +101.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs NYMU 0.5 -263
Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
010000

Nick Gonzales MLB rbis vs NYM. Current line U 0.5 at -263.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs NYMU 0.5 -185
Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
10000

Nick Gonzales MLB runs scored vs NYM. Current line U 0.5 at -185.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs NYMU 0.5 -526
67%hit L10
Streak2
Game log vs U 0.53 / 4 hit
1000

Nick Gonzales MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games vs NYM. Current line U 0.5 at -526.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Nick Gonzales MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Nick Gonzales MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -105 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Nick Gonzales (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Gonzales is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 7 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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