Nick Gonzales (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-345)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Pittsburgh Pirates host the Washington Nationals, all eyes will be on Nick Gonzales, but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits feels like a gamble. Gonzales has been struggling recently, batting just .220 over his last 10 games, and the Nationals' pitching staff has found its groove, especially with their starter on the mound. Washington's pitching has limited opposing hitters to a mere .230 average this season, and they’ve been particularly effective against left-handed hitters.
Moreover, with a 77% implied probability of hitting the under, Gonzales' recent form aligns with what the stats suggest—he’s simply not finding the gap as often as needed. The combination of his slump and facing a solid pitching performance from the Nationals makes this bet on the under an enticing option. It’s a calculated play that aligns with the current trends and dynamics at the plate.