Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Freddie Freeman is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +21.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 7:57AM UTC
MLB

Freddie Freeman

ATL

+21.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -147 (1.68)
+21.7% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Fri 17 Jul, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
81.2%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+21.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases81.2%—59.5%1.23+21.7%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Freddie Freeman (ATL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers roll into New York, Freddie Freeman’s recent form raises a few eyebrows regarding his total bases. While he’s a formidable hitter, the Yankees’ pitching staff has found its groove lately, with a solid 3.60 ERA over the last month and a strikeout rate that recently climbed above 25%. Freeman has faced some tough lefties recently, and with the Yankees likely throwing a southpaw, he may find himself in a challenging matchup. Plus, in a high-pressure environment like Yankee Stadium, the slight changes in his swing could cost him those extra bases. The Dodgers have also shown a tendency to spread the wealth, and with how their lineup is constructed, Freeman might not be the primary target for power hitting tonight. Given these dynamics, betting on Freeman to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like the right call in this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -147+21.7% edge
90%hit L10
Streak8L2085%
Game log vs U 1.51 / 3 hit
450

Freddie Freeman MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -147 (+21.7% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 2 · lo 0
112220

Freddie Freeman MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.520%
O 2.520%

Freddie Freeman MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Freddie Freeman MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Freddie Freeman MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 2 · lo 0
011210

Freddie Freeman MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -500 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Freddie Freeman (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Freddie Freeman is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees on Friday 17 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.