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The latest Bet Better model pick for Freddie Freeman is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 10%, the price says 11%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 SOlanded 7 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 4:53AM UTC
MLB

Freddie Freeman

LAD

Value call

Freddie Freeman has one live pick today: Batter - Home Runs Over 0.5 that pays $890 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Home Runs Over 0.5 +790 (8.90) · $100→$890
Value call
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Tue 6 Oct, 10:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
10 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Home Runs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.7% · before adjusting for past results 15.3% · the book's price implies 11.2% · gap -1.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Home Runs15.3%9.7%11.2%8.99+4.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Freddie Freeman Over 0.5 Batter - Home Runs (+790)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Freddie Freeman has been on fire lately, helping the Los Angeles Dodgers win 8 of their last 10 games. He's been hitting well, averaging nearly two hits, runs, or RBIs when playing away from home, which is a solid sign. Though he hasn't hit a home run at Truist Park recently, he can surprise us. The Atlanta Braves have allowed 3.9 runs per game this year, which isn't too bad, but they can still give up big hits. The risk here is that Freeman averages only 0.3 RBIs at home. However, with his strong away performance, betting on him to hit a home run feels like a good shot.

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Pick History & Track Record

Freddie Freeman's lines for Tue 6 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Home Runs 0.5
+1000 best over price · 10 booksHow many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter home runs line is 0.5, best over price +1000 across 10 books.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Singles 0.5
+120 best over price · 5 booksWent over in 3 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price +120 across 5 books. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games.

Batter Hits 1.5
-152 best over price · 11 booksWent over in 3 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter hits line is 1.5, best over price -152 across 11 books. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+260 best over price · 10 booksWent over in 1 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +260 across 10 books. He has gone over it in 1 of his last 10 games.

Batter Total Bases 4.5
How many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter total bases line is 4.5.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?

Freddie Freeman's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Freddie Freeman is averaging 0.3 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.3 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.

0.3
Hits
0.0
HR
0.3
RBI
0.3
Runs
0.3
Walks
1.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Freddie Freeman has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.530%
o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Freddie Freeman is averaging 0.3 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.3 in home games.

0.3
Hits · Overall
0.3
Hits · Home
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
Quick answers:How many home runs does Freddie Freeman hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Freddie Freeman (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Freddie Freeman is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves on Tuesday 6 October at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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