Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Randy Dobnak is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 48%, for a model edge of +29.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 30, 2:39AM UTC
MLB
Randy Dobnak
MLB
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
+109 (2.09)
+29.2% Edge
Kansas City Royals
@
Minnesota Twins
Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota · Outdoor
Wed 29 Jul, 11:40PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs KC @ MIN
updated Jul 29, 11:40PM UTC
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Implied Probability
47.8%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 77.0% | — | 47.8% | 1.30 | +29.2% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Randy Dobnak (NA) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+109)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Randy Dobnak is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randy Dobnak is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.2% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins on Wednesday 29 July at Target Field, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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