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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Randy Dobnak is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 69%, implied 63%, edge +6.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 18, 1:51AM UTC
MLB

Randy Dobnak

KCR

Value call

Randy Dobnak (KCR) has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 that pays $160 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
Value call
Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 89 of 195 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
3.7 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 68.7% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +6.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts68.7%62.5%1.45+6.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Randy Dobnak (KCR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-167)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Randy Dobnak (KCR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-167). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Randy Dobnak's lines for Fri 18 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Strikeouts 2.5

Randy Dobnak's pitcher strikeouts line is 2.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5

Randy Dobnak's pitcher strikeouts line is 4.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 3.5

Randy Dobnak's pitcher strikeouts line is 3.5.

Betting angles

1 market live
Pitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming vs PITO 4.5 +390
Game log vs O 4.51 / 3 hit
644

Randy Dobnak MLB strikeouts vs PIT. Current line O 4.5 at +390.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Athletics @ Kansas City Royals Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending
12 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Outs Pending
12 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Randy Dobnak (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randy Dobnak is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.2% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 18 September at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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