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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Loftin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +13.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 26, 12:29PM UTC
MLB

Nick Loftin

MLB

+13.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -185 (1.54)
+13.1% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 20 Jul, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
78.0%
Implied Probability
64.9%
Model Edge
+13.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases78.0%—64.9%1.28+13.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/9

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AI Analysis

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Nick Loftin (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kansas City Royals host the San Francisco Giants, all eyes will be on Nick Loftin. However, taking the under on his total bases might just be the savvy play. Loftin has been inconsistent at the plate lately, struggling against right-handed pitchers, which is critical given he’ll face the Giants’ righty starter. San Francisco's pitching has been solid, boasting a team ERA that ranks among the league's best, particularly in limiting extra-base hits. The Royals have faced a tough stretch, and Loftin's recent trends indicate he may not find much room to maneuver. With his recent total bases averaging below the threshold, a night of one or fewer total bases seems plausible. Given the Giants’ ability to suppress runs and Loftin’s current form, the under 1.5 total bases offers a compelling case for a less-than-stellar night at the plate.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 0.567%
O 1.511%

Nick Loftin MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.533%

Nick Loftin MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.511%

Nick Loftin MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -185 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -167 ✗ MISS
06 Jul 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +117 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Nick Loftin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Loftin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals on Monday 20 July at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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