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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Davis Martin is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +8.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:30PM UTC
MLB

Davis Martin

CHW

+8.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 0.5 -345 (1.29) · $100→$129
+8.5% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs CLE @ CHW
updated Aug 9, 6:10PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
86.0%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+8.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts86.0%77.5%1.16+8.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/8

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AI Analysis

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Davis Martin (CHW) Over 0.5 Strikeouts (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Davis Martin (CHW) Over 0.5 Strikeouts (-345). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.513%

Davis Martin MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -164 ✗ MISS
04 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -128 ✗ MISS
04 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under +101 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Davis Martin (CHW) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Davis Martin is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.5% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox on Wednesday 5 August at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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