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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
Chicago Cubs

Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 12:48AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep 2025, 6:20PM
2
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +102

The model graded 7 markets for Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $202 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 13 Sep 2025, 6:20PM at Wrigley Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.7%
The price says49.5%
Best price+102
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays High66% chance +102
Batter - Stolen Bases × 5 props Highup to 93%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Griffin Jax SPOut
  • Cole Sulser RPOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Drew Rasmussen SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Shota Imanaga SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 11:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Nico Hoerner CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Josh Lowe TBR Batter - Stolen Bases
Dansby Swanson CHC Batter - Stolen Bases
Seiya Suzuki CHC Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L54-1Free board12-10

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 5-0, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L54-1Free board14-13

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 5-0, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay RaysNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 5-0, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
2.7runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L54-1

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 5-0, 5.0 runs/gm.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Tampa Bay Rays at Chicago Cubs — 2 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs — recent results

Chicago Cubs have won 2 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5.

Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W17–5CINHome
L8–10CINHome
L4–5ARIAway
L0–2ARIAway
W7–0ARIAway
Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–6SDHome
W9–4SDHome
W3–0DETAway
L1–4DETAway
W4–1DETAway

Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Chicago Cubs won 2, Tampa Bay Rays won 1.

DateChicago CubsTampa Bay RaysWinner
Apr 862Chicago Cubs
Apr 792Chicago Cubs
Apr 646Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT
Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Griffin Jax SPOUT
Cole Sulser RPOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT
Jonathan Heasley RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Matthew Boyd. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays stats and odds.

Matthew Boyd (CHC) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Matthew Boyd's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, Boyd has averaged 2.4 walks per game, which is significantly above the line of 0.5. This trend remains consistent even when considering his home games, where he averages 1 walk per game. His average innings pitched (IP) per game, both overall and at home, are above 5, suggesting he spends a considerable amount of time on the mound, increasing the likelihood of walks. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further suggest a propensity for allowing hits and potentially walks. Therefore, based on Boyd's recent performance and current trends, betting on him to allow over 0.5 walks is a statistically sound choice.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rays vs Cubs, or as Cubs vs Rays. The most recent game between them was Saturday 13 September 2025 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 2 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 7.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
8 Apr 2026Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays2–6Chicago Cubs
7 Apr 2026Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays2–9Chicago Cubs
6 Apr 2026Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays6–4Tampa Bay Rays
14 Sep 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs4–3Chicago Cubs
13 Sep 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs4–5Tampa Bay Rays
12 Sep 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs6–4Chicago Cubs
13 Jun 2024Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays3–2Tampa Bay Rays
12 Jun 2024Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays3–4Chicago Cubs
11 Jun 2024Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays5–2Tampa Bay Rays
31 May 2023Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs3–4Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

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