Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
Chicago Cubs

Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sat 13 Sep 2025, 6:20PM
2
Game Picks
5
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Tampa Bay Rays (Moneyline)
For Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs (MLB), model win probability 65.7%, fair odds 1.52, book price +102, model edge +16.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 13 Sep 2025, 6:20PM at Wrigley Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays
+ 1 more market
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Jesse Scholtens RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Steven Wilson RPOut
  • Steven Matz SPOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Nick Martinez SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Trent Thornton RPDay-to-day
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Ethan Roberts RPOut
  • Matt Shaw RFOut
  • Daniel Palencia RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Hoby Milner RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Jameson Taillon SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 3:47AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 24 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability24 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Nico Hoerner CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Lowe TBR Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Dansby Swanson CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Seiya Suzuki CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

Unlock every player prop for this game

Get the player, the line, the pick and the edge on every graded prop in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF6.0L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L53-2Win rec5-8

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF6.0L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L53-2ATS8-7

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay RaysNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
5.0implied team total
L5 RF6.0L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L53-2

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

<p>Winning baseball bets for Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Matthew Boyd. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays stats and odds.</p>

Matthew Boyd (CHC) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Matthew Boyd's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, Boyd has averaged 2.4 walks per game, which is significantly above the line of 0.5. This trend remains consistent even when considering his home games, where he averages 1 walk per game. His average innings pitched (IP) per game, both overall and at home, are above 5, suggesting he spends a considerable amount of time on the mound, increasing the likelihood of walks. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further suggest a propensity for allowing hits and potentially walks. Therefore, based on Boyd's recent performance and current trends, betting on him to allow over 0.5 walks is a statistically sound choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 13 September 2025 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 2 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks