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Javier Assad

MLB

+26.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -133 (1.75)
+26.3% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Tue 7 Apr, 10:40PM
Model Probability
83.4%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+26.3%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Javier Assad (NA) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Rays and Cubs clash, all eyes will be on Javier Assad. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, the matchup against Tampa Bay poses a unique challenge. The Rays are notorious for their disciplined approach at the plate, ranking among the top teams in the league in terms of plate discipline and minimizing strikeouts. Assad, with his current strikeout rate hovering below the league average, faces a lineup that rarely goes down swinging. The Rays’ ability to make contact consistently suggests they’ll frustrate Assad tonight. He’s been averaging just under two strikeouts per outing in recent starts, and with the Rays’ potent offense applying pressure, it’s hard to envision him surpassing that 3.5 mark. Given the trends and the opposing lineup's strengths, the under looks like the smart play here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Javier Assad is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Javier Assad is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday 7 April at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.