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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Chicago Cubs

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 24, 8:14AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug 2026, 6:20PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Chicago Cubs Moneyline -123

The model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $181 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 5 Aug 2026, 6:20PM at Wrigley Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win83.7%
The price says55.2%
Best price-123
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Chicago Cubs High84% chance -123
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings High72% chance
Spread Long-shot20% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean54% chance
Spread Long-shot15% chance
Moneyline Lean55% chance
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 72%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 6 props Highup to 84%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 12 props Highup to 83%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 3 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Total Bases × 7 props Highup to 91%
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 79%
Batter - Singles × 6 props Highup to 86%
Batter - Walks × 5 props Highup to 92%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Chicago Cubs · $100 returned $276

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 902 of 1,825 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 23
Under 5.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $412
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Will Smith COut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Blake Snell SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Matt Shaw RFOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Hoby Milner RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Shota Imanaga SP
Availability updated Aug 23, 9:37PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 28 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability28 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Pete Crow-Armstrong Batter - Hits
Tarik Skubal DET Pitcher - Earned Runs
Tommy Edman STL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Dansby Swanson ATL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Eric Lauer TOR Pitcher - Earned Runs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L55-0Free board11-8

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L55-0Free board13-11

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
1.9runs we expect
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L55-0

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.0 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — recent results

Chicago Cubs have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 5 of their last 5.

Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W19–2SEAAway
L5–6SEAAway
L4–5SEAAway
W4–3CHWHome
L0–3CHWHome
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–0PITHome
W5–4PITHome
W4–3PITHome
W6–4COLAway
W7–6COLAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Chicago Cubs are scoring 5.0 runs per game (4-1) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 2.4 (1-4); Chicago Cubs pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 4.4 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

5.0
Chicago Cubs runs/G
2.4
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesChicago CubsLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game5.02.4
Hits / game5.06.2
Home runs / game1.40.8
Walks drawn / game0.82.6
Batter K / game2.02.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.84.4
Pitching K / game3.41.8
Walks allowed / game0.61.0
L5 record4-11-4

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Chicago Cubs won 5, Los Angeles Dodgers won 3.

DateChicago CubsLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Aug 576Chicago Cubs
Aug 551Chicago Cubs
Aug 4105Chicago Cubs
Apr 2606Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 25412Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 2564Chicago Cubs
Mar 15814Los Angeles Dodgers
Feb 2862Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

28 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Phil Maton RPOUT
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Matt Shaw RFOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Will Smith COUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Tyler Glasnow SPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

Our Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs prediction for August 6, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 6, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
05 Aug 26 Moneyline Chicago Cubs ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Chicago Cubs -1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago Cubs -2.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Chicago Cubs -1 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago Cubs -1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago Cubs -3.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Chicago Cubs +1 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago Cubs -0.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread Chicago Cubs +1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 5.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Cubs, or as Cubs vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 5 August 2026 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 8 meetings
Chicago Cubs 5–3 across the last 8 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Aug 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs5–1Chicago Cubs
5 Aug 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs7–6Chicago Cubs
4 Aug 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs10–5Chicago Cubs
26 Apr 2026Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–0Los Angeles Dodgers
25 Apr 2026Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–6Chicago Cubs
25 Apr 2026Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers12–4Los Angeles Dodgers
15 Mar 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs8–14Los Angeles Dodgers
28 Feb 2026Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–6Chicago Cubs
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