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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mookie Betts is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +18.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 8:01AM UTC
MLB

Mookie Betts

LAD

+18.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -161 (1.62)
+18.7% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Fri 17 Jul, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
80.5%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+18.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases80.5%—61.7%1.24+18.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/5

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AI Analysis

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Mookie Betts (LAD) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers roll into Yankee Stadium, all eyes will be on Mookie Betts, but the matchup might not favor him as much as expected. The Yankees' pitching staff has been exceptional at home, boasting a 3.20 ERA, and they thrive on keeping hitters in check. Specifically, left-handed batters like Betts have struggled against their ace, who has a knack for neutralizing power hitters. Betts has been solid this season, but his recent form reveals a dip in production against elite pitching. With his recent struggles, hitting under 1.5 total bases feels more likely. The Dodgers have also been inconsistent on the road, and with the Yankees' bullpen ready to step in after a strong starter, it could be a long night for Mookie. Given the odds and trends, placing a bet on the ‘Under’ seems like a smart play in this intriguing interleague clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs NYYU 1.5 -161+18.7% edge
80%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 1.53 / 3 hit
100

Mookie Betts MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs NYY. Current line U 1.5 at -161 (+18.7% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
1000

Mookie Betts MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%

Mookie Betts MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.520%

Mookie Betts MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10

Mookie Betts MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -333 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - RBIs 1.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mookie Betts (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mookie Betts is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees on Friday 17 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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