Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Eric Lauer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 49%, for a model edge of +28.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 11:17AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
+104 (2.04)
+28.8% Edge
Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 6:20PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
49.0%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 77.8% | — | 49.0% | 1.29 | +28.8% |
See every market's calibrated edge
Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.
Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 3/7 |
See the full 20-game form curve
Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Eric Lauer (TOR) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+104)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Chicago Cubs play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Eric Lauer (TOR) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+104). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
1 market livePitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming gameU 2.5 +104 Eric Lauer MLB earned runs: cleared under 2.5 in 88% of the last 10 games. Current line U 2.5 at +104.
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Eric Lauer MLB strikeouts: cleared over 1.5 in 88% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Eric Lauer (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Eric Lauer is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs on Wednesday 5 August at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.