Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tarik Skubal is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +10.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:13PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-244 (1.41) · $100→$141
+10.7% Edge
Kansas City Royals
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs KC @ LAD
updated Aug 11, 2:10AM UTC
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Implied Probability
70.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 81.7% | — | 70.9% | 1.22 | +10.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 5/10 |
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Tarik Skubal (DET) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Dodgers play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tarik Skubal (DET) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-244). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
2 markets livePitcher - Hits AllowedUpcoming gameU 4.5 -128 Tarik Skubal MLB hits allowed: cleared under 4.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 4.5 at -128.
Pitcher - WalksUpcoming gameU 1.5 -244 Tarik Skubal MLB walks: cleared under 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -244.
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Tarik Skubal MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Tarik Skubal MLB outs: averaging 17.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Tarik Skubal (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tarik Skubal is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.7% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday 11 August at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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