Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tarik Skubal is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +5.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
MLB
Tarik Skubal
DET
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Over 1.5
-1429 (1.07)
+5.3% Edge
Detroit Tigers
@
Seattle Mariners
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington · Indoor
Fri 10 Oct, 8:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
93.5%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 98.7% | — | 93.5% | 1.01 | +5.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 4.580%
O 5.580%
O 6.560%
O 7.530%
O 8.510%
Tarik Skubal MLB strikeouts: cleared over 4.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.5100%
O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.540%
O 5.540%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
Tarik Skubal MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Tarik Skubal MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 1.8avg earned runs · L5
L2050%
Tarik Skubal MLB earned runs: averaging 1.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Tarik Skubal MLB outs: averaging 17.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tarik Skubal (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tarik Skubal is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners on Friday 10 October at T-Mobile Park, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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