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Tarik Skubal

MLB

Value call

Tarik Skubal has one live pick today: under 1.5 walks allowed that pays $170 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
1.0 walks allowed
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.0% · before adjusting for past results 75.6% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap -9.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Tarik Skubal
under 1.5 walks allowed
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.00 Odds-143
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tarik Skubal is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 10:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks75.6%49.0%58.8%1.78+16.7%

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AI Analysis

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Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Tarik Skubal Under 1.5 Pitcher - Walks (-143)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For this bet to work, Tarik Skubal needs to keep his walks under 1.5 tonight. He's facing the Milwaukee Brewers, who have been hitting well recently and scored over five runs a game this season. However, Skubal has a decent chance since he's been good at avoiding walks, and the Brewers' starting pitcher has been giving up runs more than usual. The wind blowing out toward the outfield could help hitters, but Skubal's performance shows he can handle pressure. He has allowed runs at a slightly higher rate than average, which means he could be vulnerable if things go wrong. Still, our numbers see him as a strong favorite for this bet, making it a solid pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tarik Skubal's lines for Mon 12 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Walks 1.5

Tarik Skubal's pitcher walks line is 1.5.

Pitcher Outs 17.5
-169 best over price · 13 books

Tarik Skubal's pitcher outs line is 17.5, best over price -169 across 13 books.

Pitcher Strikeouts 8.5

Tarik Skubal's pitcher strikeouts line is 8.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 9.5

Tarik Skubal's pitcher strikeouts line is 9.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 7.5

Tarik Skubal's pitcher strikeouts line is 7.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5

Tarik Skubal's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 10.5

Tarik Skubal's pitcher strikeouts line is 10.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5

Tarik Skubal's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.

Betting angles

4 markets live
Pitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming gameO 8.5 +223
Game log vs O 8.52 / 4 hit
93107

Tarik Skubal MLB strikeouts. Current line O 8.5 at +223.

Pitcher - WalksUpcoming gameU 1.5 -143
Game log vs U 1.55 / 9 hit
222101210

Tarik Skubal MLB walks. Current line U 1.5 at -143.

Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -114
Game log vs U 1.54 / 9 hit
213122401

Tarik Skubal MLB earned runs. Current line U 1.5 at -114.

Pitcher - OutsUpcoming gameU 17.5 +128

Tarik Skubal MLB outs. Current line U 17.5 at +128.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tarik Skubal is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tarik Skubal is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday 11 October at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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