Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ildemaro Vargas is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a calibrated win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 3:00AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs
Under 0.5
-313 (1.32) · $100→$132
+3.7% Edge
Colorado Rockies
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Wed 12 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Implied Probability
75.8%
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - RBIs | 79.5% | 68.6% | 75.8% | 1.45 | +3.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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Ildemaro Vargas (PIT) Under 0.5 RBIs (-312)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Arizona Diamondbacks play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ildemaro Vargas (PIT) Under 0.5 RBIs (-312). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -312 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Ildemaro Vargas is averaging 0.7 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.
Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis
Ildemaro Vargas has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.550%
o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Ildemaro Vargas is averaging 0.7 hits per game over his last 5, including his recent form against NYM.
Ildemaro Vargas (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ildemaro Vargas is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday 12 August at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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