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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Painter is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 8:14PM UTC
MLB

Andrew Painter

MLB

+12.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -143 (1.70)
+12.9% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 12 Apr, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs71.7%58.8%1.39+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Painter (NA) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Andrew Painter is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Painter is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday 12 April at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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