Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Painter is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 8:14PM UTC
MLB
Andrew Painter
MLB
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-143 (1.70)
+12.9% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 12 Apr, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
58.8%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 71.7% | — | 58.8% | 1.39 | +12.9% |
See every market's calibrated edge
Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.
Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime
Andrew Painter (NA) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-143)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Andrew Painter is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Painter is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday 12 April at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.