On October 25, 2026 our model has run Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Daniel Jones Under 6.5 Rushing Yards (-110), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Daniel Jones Under 6.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Daniel Jones has been averaging only 0.2 rushing touchdowns in his last 15 games, which isn't exactly a sign of a strong rushing game. He's also not been running as much lately, and the Vikings' defense is tough, especially when they can bring extra rushers. With their ability to pressure the quarterback, Jones may find it hard to break free for big yards.
The bet on Daniel Jones rushing for under 6.5 yards feels like a solid choice. Both teams have had similar records against the line, but with the Vikings at home, they might just have the upper hand. The most concrete risk is that the game could turn out to be very close, making it harder to predict how Jones will perform on the ground.
Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Daniel Jones Over 188.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For Daniel Jones to hit over 188.5 passing yards tonight, he needs to find his rhythm early against the Vikings. Minnesota's defense has allowed quarterbacks to throw effectively, and Jones has shown he can step up, especially with his recent performances. He has been averaging a solid number of scrimmage touchdowns, which means he can move the ball downfield when it counts.
However, the competition is tight. Both teams have been pretty even in their recent matchups, with Jones facing extra pressure on many of his dropbacks. If he can avoid those rushers and connect with his receivers, he should be able to surpass that passing yard mark. It's definitely a challenge, but he has the tools to make it happen.
Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Josh Downs Under 50.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For tonight's game, we're betting that Josh Downs will have under 50.5 receiving yards. The Vikings tend to focus more on defending the pass, and with their quarterback facing extra rushers on many dropbacks, it might limit how much he can throw to Downs.
The Colts have had a mixed season, and their offense didn't find much success throwing the ball last year. Plus, Downs was mostly used for deep shots, which means he might not get enough short throws to rack up the yards. The closest risk is that if the game turns into a shootout, he could get more chances. But with the way both teams are playing, the under seems like a solid pick.
That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.