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Model picks & player props
NFL
Tampa Bay
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Minnesota Vikings
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers and backs Over 28.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $450.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 28.5 totals h1
Over 28.5 Alternate Totals H1
You bet$10 If it wins$45.00Best price+350
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.7%
The price says20.9%

The model graded 70 markets for Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $450 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 27 Sep 2026, 4:05 PM ET at Tampa Bay.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Totals H1 Over 28.5 Long-shot31% chance +350
Alternate Totals H1 Members only Lean50% chance Members
Alternate Totals Q1 Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean55% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H1 Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
Totals H1 Members only Lean60% chance Members
Team Totals H1 Members only Lean54% chance Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 97% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 87% Members
Receiving Yards × 5 props Highup to 73% Members
Receptions × 6 props Highup to 84% Members
Rush + Rec Yards × 2 props Highup to 71% Members
Last Touchdown Scorer × 12 props Long-shotup to 20% Members
Anytime TD × 5 props Leanup to 46% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers last met on Sun 27 Sep 2026: Minnesota Vikings won 23-16. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Totals H1
Over
28.5
+350
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,257+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Vikings

  • T.J. Hockenson TEQuestionable
  • Max Brosmer QBOut
  • Odell Beckham Jr. WROut
  • Elijah Williams DEOut
  • Jakobe Thomas SOut
  • Christian Darrisaw OTOut
  • Charles Demmings CBOut
  • Jordan Addison WROut
  • Donovan Jackson GOut
  • Josh Oliver TEOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Baker Mayfield QBOut
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. SOut
  • Billy Schrauth GOut
  • Benjamin Morrison CBOut
  • SirVocea Dennis LBOut
  • Luke Haggard GOut
  • DeMonte Capehart DTOut
Availability updated Oct 12, 12:15AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Baker Mayfield TB Passing Yards (Alt)
Cade Otton TB Receiving Yards (Alt)
Emeka Egbuka TB Receiving Yards
Emeka Egbuka TB Receiving Yards (Alt)
Kenny Gainwell TB Receptions

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMinnesota Vikings to winNo line posted

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadMinnesota Vikings spreadNo line posted

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsVikings @ BuccaneersNo line posted

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — recent results

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Vikings have won 5 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W24–16DALAway
L14–17GBHome
L16–23MINHome
L19–23CLEHome
L27–33CINAway
Minnesota Vikings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W23–13NOAway
W15–10MIAHome
W23–16TBAway
W9–3CHIAway
W39–22GBHome

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 0, Minnesota Vikings won 1.

DateTampa Bay BuccaneersMinnesota VikingsWinner
Sep 271623Minnesota Vikings

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
PlayerStatus
Baker Mayfield QBOUT
Antoine Winfield Jr. SOUT
Billy Schrauth GOUT
Benjamin Morrison CBOUT
SirVocea Dennis LBOUT
Luke Haggard GOUT
DeMonte Capehart DTOUT
Minnesota Vikings
PlayerStatus
T.J. Hockenson TEQUESTIONABLE
Max Brosmer QBOUT
Odell Beckham Jr. WROUT
Elijah Williams DEOUT
Jakobe Thomas SOUT
Christian Darrisaw OTOUT
Charles Demmings CBOUT
Jordan Addison WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Vikings vs Buccaneers, or as Buccaneers vs Vikings. The most recent game between them was Sunday 27 September 2026 at Tampa Bay. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 41.8 points (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Sun 27 Sep 2026, Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: the Vikings won 23-16.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Sep 2026Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers16–23Minnesota Vikings
10 Sep 2023Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings17–20Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 Dec 2020Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers26–14Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 Sep 2017Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Minnesota Vikings34–17Minnesota Vikings

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