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Model picks & player props
NFL
New Orleans
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Minnesota Vikings
VS
New Orleans Saints

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints and backs Over 24.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $320.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New Orleans Saints
over 24.5 points
Over 24.5 Alternate Team Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$32.00Best price+220
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win29.0%
The price says29.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $320 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at New Orleans.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points New Orleans Saints Over 24.5 Long-shot29% chance +220
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean45% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean44% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean51% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean45% chance Members
Receptions × 6 props Highup to 77% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 98% Members
Receiving Yards × 8 props Highup to 72% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 95% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 71% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 7 props Highup to 93% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 3 props Leanup to 51% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 66% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints last met on Sun 11 Oct 2026: Minnesota Vikings won 23-13. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Over
24.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron Jones Sr. RBQuestionable
  • Max Brosmer QBOut
  • Demond Claiborne RBOut
  • Elijah Williams DEOut
  • Jakobe Thomas SOut
  • Caleb Tiernan OTOut
  • Charles Demmings CBOut
  • Donovan Jackson GOut

New Orleans Saints

  • Justin Reid SQuestionable
  • CJ Donaldson RBQuestionable
  • Treyton Welch TEOut
  • Nathan Shepherd DTOut
  • Cesar Ruiz GOut
  • Tyree Wilson DEOut
  • Zach Wilson QBOut
  • Mike Reid CBOut
  • John Ridgeway III DTOut
  • Jordyn Tyson WROut
Availability updated Oct 26, 2:53AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Justin Jefferson MIN Receptions
Tyler Shough NO Passing Yards (Alt)
Alvin Kamara NO Receiving Yards
Tyler Shough NO Rushing Yards (Alt)
Tyler Shough NO Rushing Yards

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew Orleans Saints to winNo line posted

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Saints spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsVikings @ SaintsNo line posted

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints — recent results

New Orleans Saints have won 1 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Vikings have won 5 of their last 5.

New Orleans Saints — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L10–16PITHome
W34–27NYGAway
L13–23MINHome
L24–45ATLHome
L27–35LVHome
Minnesota Vikings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W16–10INDHome
W23–13NOAway
W15–10MIAHome
W23–16TBAway
W9–3CHIAway

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New Orleans Saints won 0, Minnesota Vikings won 1.

DateNew Orleans SaintsMinnesota VikingsWinner
Oct 111323Minnesota Vikings

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New Orleans Saints
PlayerStatus
Justin Reid SQUESTIONABLE
CJ Donaldson RBQUESTIONABLE
Treyton Welch TEOUT
Nathan Shepherd DTOUT
Cesar Ruiz GOUT
Tyree Wilson DEOUT
Zach Wilson QBOUT
Mike Reid CBOUT
Minnesota Vikings
PlayerStatus
Aaron Jones Sr. RBQUESTIONABLE
Max Brosmer QBOUT
Demond Claiborne RBOUT
Elijah Williams DEOUT
Jakobe Thomas SOUT
Caleb Tiernan OTOUT
Charles Demmings CBOUT
Donovan Jackson GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints — model preview

New Orleans Saints v Minnesota Vikings, 12 October 2026. Top of the list: Aaron Jones (MIN) Over 70.5 Rushing Yards. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Monday 12 October 2026, New Orleans Saints play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Aaron Jones (MIN) Over 70.5 Rushing Yards, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Aaron Jones (MIN) Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New Orleans Saints play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Jones (MIN) Over 70.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Vikings vs Saints, or as Saints vs Vikings. The most recent game between them was Sunday 11 October 2026 at New Orleans. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Minnesota Vikings 6–2 across the last 8 meetings · these games average 52.1 points (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Sun 11 Oct 2026, Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints: the Vikings won 23-13.

DateGameScoreWinner
11 Oct 2026Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints13–23Minnesota Vikings
12 Nov 2023New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings27–19Minnesota Vikings
2 Oct 2022Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints25–28Minnesota Vikings
25 Dec 2020Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints52–33New Orleans Saints
5 Jan 2020Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints20–26Minnesota Vikings
28 Oct 2018New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings20–30New Orleans Saints
14 Jan 2018New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings29–24Minnesota Vikings
11 Sep 2017New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings29–19Minnesota Vikings
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