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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Vikings
VS
New Orleans Saints

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Picks & Predictions · Sun 11 Oct

Our model graded 20 markets for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints and backs Over 20.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $200.

NFL
New Orleans
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded

Sunday 11 October 2026: Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 20.5 Team Total +100

The model graded 20 markets for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM at New Orleans.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win56.2%
The price says47.1%
Best price+100
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 20.5 Lean56% chance +100
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean56% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean53% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean54% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Minnesota Vikings are the model's favourite to beat New Orleans Saints, with a 53% chance to win. Predicted score: New Orleans Saints 22 – Minnesota Vikings 22.5. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 5:00PM at New Orleans. Best bet: Over 20.5 at +100.
How they've been scoring this season
Minnesota VikingsNew Orleans Saints
Won-lost4-01-2
Points scored per game21.527.0
Points allowed per game12.827.7
On the road / at home2-0 away0-1 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWWLWL
Their games average 44.5 total points this season.
From the 4 Minnesota Vikings and 3 New Orleans Saints games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Vikings about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Vikingsabout 5 in 10$1.85 (-118)$1.83 (-120)
Saintsabout 5 in 10$2.18 (+118)$2.10 (+110)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.30 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 17 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
21.5
-114
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans SaintsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from New Orleans Saints on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward New Orleans Saints
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on New Orleans Saints
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Vikings

  • Christian Darrisaw OTQuestionable
  • Donovan Jackson GOut
  • Brett Thorson POut
  • Justin Jefferson WROut
  • Charles Demmings CBOut
  • Josh Oliver TEOut

New Orleans Saints

  • Davon Godchaux DTQuestionable
  • Christen Miller DTOut
  • Zach Wilson QBOut
  • Noah Fant TEOut
  • Decamerion Richardson CBOut
  • Kaden Elliss LBOut
  • Carl Granderson DEOut
  • Anfernee Jennings LBOut
  • Jordyn Tyson WROut
  • Travis Etienne Jr. RBOut
Availability updated Oct 6, 4:49AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineNew Orleans Saints to winNo line posted

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Saints spread+1.5 -104
53%cover %

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsVikings @ SaintsOver 42.5 -105
56%over %

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints — recent results

New Orleans Saints have won 2 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Vikings have won 4 of their last 5.

New Orleans Saints — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L27–35LVHome
W24–17BALAway
L30–31DETAway
W27–24DALAway
L0–34LARAway
Minnesota Vikings — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W15–10MIAHome
W23–16TBAway
W9–3CHIAway
W39–22GBHome
L6–34DENAway

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New Orleans Saints
PlayerStatus
Davon Godchaux DTQUESTIONABLE
Christen Miller DTOUT
Zach Wilson QBOUT
Noah Fant TEOUT
Decamerion Richardson CBOUT
Kaden Elliss LBOUT
Carl Granderson DEOUT
Anfernee Jennings LBOUT
Minnesota Vikings
PlayerStatus
Christian Darrisaw OTQUESTIONABLE
Donovan Jackson GOUT
Brett Thorson POUT
Justin Jefferson WROUT
Charles Demmings CBOUT
Josh Oliver TEOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints — where the money went

Since betting opened on Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints, the market has moved away from New Orleans Saints across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — New Orleans Saints -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — New Orleans Saints▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Minnesota Vikings 1.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Minnesota Vikings▲ Money came for this
Spread — New Orleans Saints 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Minnesota Vikings -1.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 44▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 44▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Vikings vs Saints, or as Saints vs Vikings. The next scheduled game is Sunday 11 October 2026 at New Orleans. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints head-to-head record

Final scores · 7 meetings on record
Minnesota Vikings 5–2 across the last 7 meetings · these games average 54.4 points (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Sun 12 Nov 2023, New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings: the Vikings won 27-19.

DateGameScoreWinner
12 Nov 2023New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings27–19Minnesota Vikings
2 Oct 2022Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints25–28Minnesota Vikings
25 Dec 2020Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints52–33New Orleans Saints
5 Jan 2020Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints20–26Minnesota Vikings
28 Oct 2018New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings20–30New Orleans Saints
14 Jan 2018New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings29–24Minnesota Vikings
11 Sep 2017New Orleans Saints @ Minnesota Vikings29–19Minnesota Vikings

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