Jackson Chourio (MIL) Under 1.5 Hits (-278)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers prepare to host the Rockies, all eyes will be on Jackson Chourio, who’s starting to face some tough pitching. The Rockies’ rotation has been surprisingly effective lately, with their starters boasting a combined ERA that’s improved significantly over the last month, especially on the road. Chourio has shown flashes of brilliance, but he’s also been prone to striking out against elevated velocity—something Rockies pitchers have been serving up consistently. Moreover, Milwaukee’s lineup has been feast or famine, and with the pressure of playing at home, they may lean on their more experienced bats. Chourio is projected to struggle against right-handed pitchers, and with the Rockies’ arms rolling, betting on him to stay under 1.5 hits feels like the smart play. Given the trends and Chourio's current form, the under seems not just likely, but the savvy pick for this matchup.

Cole Carrigg (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers host the Rockies, all eyes will be on Cole Carrigg, but betting on him to exceed 1.5 total bases might not be the wisest choice. Carrigg has been struggling lately, with a batting average hovering around .220 against right-handed pitchers, and the Rockies' starter has been solid in limiting damage this season. Moreover, the Brewers' lineup has shown a tendency to rely heavily on power, which hasn’t been Carrigg's game. With Colorado’s pitchers limiting opponents to a low slugging percentage, it’s likely we see Carrigg manage just a single hit at best. Considering the Brewers' collective performance against righties and Carrigg's recent form, the under on his total bases feels like a smart move. The odds reflect a clear expectation that he’ll fall short, and given the trends, it seems like a calculated play to back.

Jake McCarthy (COL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers prepare to host the Rockies, all eyes should be on Jake McCarthy, whose recent performances raise some red flags for those eager to back his total bases. Over the past two weeks, McCarthy has struggled at the plate, managing only a .220 average, which includes a disappointing stretch against right-handed pitchers—exactly what he'll face today. The Brewers’ pitching staff has been stellar lately, especially at home, boasting a 2.90 ERA in their last ten games. With the Rockies’ offense also faltering, scoring an average of just 3.5 runs per game in their last series, it’s hard to see McCarthy finding the gaps often enough to clear 1.5 total bases. Given these trends, taking the under feels like a savvy play, especially against a Brewers' lineup that has dominated at home. Expect a tight game, and for McCarthy to fall short of that threshold.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Unlock all picks