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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Hunter Goodman is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +20.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 7:58AM UTC
MLB

Hunter Goodman

COL

+20.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -227 (1.44)
+20.8% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 12:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.3%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+20.8%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits90.3%69.4%1.11+20.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Hunter Goodman (COL) Under 1.5 Hits (-227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockies gear up to face the Reds, Hunter Goodman’s recent performance paints a compelling case for taking the under on his hits. Goodman has found himself in a bit of a slump, managing only a handful of hits over the past week, which has stifled his production. The Reds’ pitching staff has been no slouch either; they’ve been effective in limiting opposing batters, especially against right-handers like Goodman. The Rockies’ offense can be volatile, often relying on the long ball rather than consistent hitting, and with a lefty on the mound for Cincinnati, Goodman’s chances of racking up hits diminish even further. With the odds leaning heavily towards him not surpassing that 1.5 mark, it’s hard to ignore the trend. Given the current circumstances and his recent dry spell, backing the under feels like a strategic play that aligns well with the dynamics at play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs CINU 1.5 -227+20.8% edge

Hunter Goodman MLB hits vs CIN. Current line U 1.5 at -227 (+20.8% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs CINU 1.5 -111+29.5% edge
90%hit L10
Streak6L2075%

Hunter Goodman MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs CIN. Current line U 1.5 at -111 (+29.5% model edge).

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak7L2075%

Hunter Goodman MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak2

Hunter Goodman MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -175 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Hunter Goodman (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hunter Goodman is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies on Saturday 18 July at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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