On August 24, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LEAN confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Marlins host the Red Sox, keep an eye on Nick Sogard’s performance at the plate. Despite the occasional flash, Sogard has struggled against right-handed pitching, managing only a.220 average against them this season. With Miami’s standout pitcher on the mound, who boasts a sharp 2.90 ERA and a formidable strikeout rate, Sogard might find himself overmatched. The Marlins’ bullpen has also tightened up lately, allowing a mere three runs in their last four games, which raises the stakes for the Boston hitters. Sogard’s recent form shows he’s been held to under 1.5 hits in several matchups against quality pitching. With the implied probability heavily favoring the ‘Under’ and the Marlins’ defensive prowess at play, it’s a smart move to bet on Sogard falling short tonight. Expect a night where the bat doesn’t meet the ball as often as he’d like.

Otto Lopez (MIA) Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Miami Marlins host the Boston Red Sox, all eyes will be on Otto Lopez to see if he can make an impact at the plate. However, recent trends suggest the under is the way to go for his hits total. Lopez has struggled against right-handed pitchers lately, and with Boston's starter boasting a solid strikeout rate, this matchup isn't favorable for him. The Marlins have been relying heavily on their pitching, which has kept opposing hitters in check, particularly at home. Lopez’s recent performance dips combined with the Red Sox’s ability to neutralize left-handed hitters create a perfect storm for his bat to be silent. With the odds suggesting a 72.5% chance he’ll fall short of that 1.5 hits mark, it feels wise to lean toward the under and bet on a quieter night for Lopez in a matchup that favors the defense.

Willson Contreras (CHC) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Miami Marlins gear up to face the Boston Red Sox on August 24, all eyes will be on Willson Contreras, who’s been on a rollercoaster ride at the plate. Despite his talent, recent trends suggest he might struggle to surpass 1.5 total bases in this matchup. The Marlins' lineup has faced a slew of solid pitcher performances lately, and the Red Sox have a strong arm on the mound that could effectively neutralize Contreras' offense. Over the last few weeks, opposing hitters have found it tough to get the ball rolling against Boston, with just 15% of their games seeing hitters exceed this mark. Moreover, Contreras has been a bit inconsistent, often lingering around the 0.8 mark for total bases. With the Red Sox’s recent pitching prowess and Contreras' fluctuations, taking the 'Under' could be a prudent play here.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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