Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 11.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When Al Horford takes the court against the Memphis Grizzlies, he's stepping into a tough matchup that will really put his scoring prowess to the test. Horford's been having a bit of a rough patch recently, only averaging 9.2 points overall in his last five games, and even at home, he's only managed an average of 8.4 points. In the face of the Grizzlies, these numbers don't bode well for him. Memphis has been putting the squeeze on their opponents, holding them to an average of just 10 points at home. Even when he's faced the Grizzlies in the past five encounters, Horford has barely scraped past our line, averaging 11.8 points. With the overall hit rate in the last 11 games at 9/11 and the home-away hit rate in the last 9 games at 8/9, it's clear that Horford's chances of going under 11.5 points are looking pretty

Jaylen Wells (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Thursday night, as the lights dim in the Grizzlies' den, our attention zeros in on Jaylen Wells. The tempting prospect of under 15.5 points + rebounds for Wells at a price of 1.76 from FanDuel is hard to ignore. Here's why. Wells, despite his explosive talent, hasn't been shaking the boards lately, especially on home turf. His recent average points and rebounds at home are a modest 9.6 combined. Even when he locks horns with the Warriors, his performance hasn't strayed far from this average. We've seen Wells struggle to break double digits in points against this rival, and his rebounds have been similarly restrained. With a model edge of 7.5%, the stats are painting a picture of a player below his usual steam. So, for this Grizzlies-Warriors showdown, I'm backing the under 15.5 for Wells. The numbers, quite simply, are speaking volumes.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors : Memphis Grizzlies win (+136)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

While the Warriors boast a stronger away record and overall team score in recent games, the Grizzlies are no pushovers on their home court. Memphis's last five home games show a standout record of 4-1, and they've been outscoring their overall average by about 6 points when they're playing in their own arena. Plus, the head-to-head record between the two teams is dead even at 2-2, highlighting that the Grizzlies are more than capable of taking down the Warriors. It's this combination of home court advantage and competitive head-to-head history that makes Memphis a compelling pick for the Moneyline market. The Grizzlies are punching above their weight at home and have previously shown they can go toe-to-toe with the Warriors, making them a solid bet.

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