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Model picks & player props
NBA
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Fri 27 Feb 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
VS
Dallas Mavericks

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 13 markets for Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks and backs Dallas Mavericks hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $1,200.

5
Game markets graded
8
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Dallas Mavericks
to win
Dallas Mavericks Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$120.00Best price+1100
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.6%
The price says8.3%

The model graded 13 markets for Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 27 Feb 2026, 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Dallas Mavericks Long-shot38% chance +1100
Spread Members only High77% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High62% chance Members
Team Total Members only High90% chance Members
Pts + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 99% Members
Points × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
Steals × 2 props Highup to 74% Members
Blocks × 1 prop Highup to 68% Members
Assists × 1 prop Highup to 88% Members
3-Pointers × 1 prop Highup to 94% Members
Rebounds × 1 prop Highup to 74% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Memphis Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks last met on Fri 27 Feb 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NBA game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Dallas Mavericks
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas MavericksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Isaiah Stewart COut

Dallas Mavericks

  • Marcus Sasser GDay-to-day
  • P.J. Washington FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Martin FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
Availability updated Oct 10, 2:41AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cam Spencer Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Asts
Tyus Jones Phoenix Suns Points
Naji Marshall Dallas Mavericks Steals
Daniel Gafford Dallas Mavericks Blocks
Brandon Williams Dallas Mavericks Assists

+ 8 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMemphis Grizzlies @ Dallas MavericksNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadDallas Mavericks spreadNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) meet Memphis Grizzlies; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineDallas Mavericks to winNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) host or visit Memphis Grizzlies; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks — what the model found

Our model graded 13 betting markets for Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks — 5 on the game itself and 8 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded
8
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 13 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 12 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks — recent results

Dallas Mavericks have won 1 of their last 5 games; Memphis Grizzlies have won 2 of their last 5.

Dallas Mavericks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L117–135HOUHome
W149–128CHIHome
L120–139SAAway
L107–112PHXAway
L103–116LACAway
Memphis Grizzlies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W104–100CHIAway
L118–122ORLHome
W132–123ATLAway
L101–132HOUAway
L101–147UTAHAway

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Dallas Mavericks won 1, Memphis Grizzlies won 1.

DateDallas MavericksMemphis GrizzliesWinner
Mar 13120112Dallas Mavericks
Feb 28105124Memphis Grizzlies

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerStatus
Marcus Sasser GDAY-TO-DAY
P.J. Washington FDAY-TO-DAY
Caleb Martin FDAY-TO-DAY
Dereck Lively II CDAY-TO-DAY
Santi Aldama FDAY-TO-DAY
Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerStatus
Micah Peavy GDAY-TO-DAY
Isaiah Stewart COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks — model preview

Winning bets for Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Naji Marshall. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies stats and odds.

Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) Under 1.5 Steals (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Dallas Mavericks meet the Memphis Grizzlies on the home court this Saturday, keep an eye on Naji Marshall. Despite an impressive average of 1.6 steals per game overall, when facing the Grizzlies, Marshall's performance takes a noticeable dip. He's been averaging only 0.8 steals against this opponent and that number drops even further to 0.4 at home. The grizzlies seem to know how to keep the ball away from Marshall. It's also worth noting that Marshall's expected stat value for this game is just 0.9, well below the 1.5 line set by DraftKings. Marshall has hit the under in 2 out of the last 3 home games, giving us more confidence in this bet. So, for those considering a wager on the 'Under 1.5 Steals' market, it's a bet worth contemplating. Marshall's track record against the Grizzlies suggests he's unlikely to exceed that threshold.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Grizzlies vs Mavericks, or as Mavericks vs Grizzlies. The most recent game between them was Friday 27 February 2026 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 5 game picks and 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Fri 13 Mar 2026, Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies: the Mavericks won 120-112.

DateGameScoreWinner
13 Mar 2026Dallas Mavericks @ Memphis Grizzlies112–120Dallas Mavericks
28 Feb 2026Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks105–124Memphis Grizzlies
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