Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Model picks & player props
Atlanta Hawks
VS
Memphis Grizzlies

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:10PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Atlanta Hawks 1.5 (Point Spread)
For Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies (NBA), model win probability 78.4%, fair odds 1.28, book price -110, model edge +26.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Atlanta Hawks
1.5
+ 3 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Atlanta HawksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta HawksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Atlanta Hawks

  • Mouhamed Gueye FDay-to-day
  • Keshon Gilbert GDay-to-day
  • RayJ Dennis GDay-to-day
  • Asa Newell FDay-to-day
  • Zuby Ejiofor FDay-to-day
  • Kingston Flemings GDay-to-day
  • Jock Landale CDay-to-day

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • GG Jackson FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDay-to-day
  • Cam Spencer GDay-to-day
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Ty Jerome GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 20, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsAtlanta Hawks @ Memphis GrizzliesNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies and Atlanta Hawks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMemphis Grizzlies spreadNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) meet Atlanta Hawks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMemphis Grizzlies to winNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) host or visit Atlanta Hawks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Atlanta Hawks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Atlanta Hawks totalNo line posted

Atlanta Hawks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Atlanta Hawks @ Memphis Grizzlies — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks : Over 212.5 Total Points (-3333)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Over 212.5 bet for the Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks game is data-backed considering the recent scoring trends of both teams. The Grizzlies have averaged 124.6 points at home in their last 5 games, while the Hawks have scored an average of 117.2 points in their last 5 away games. Even the weakest of these performances exceeds the 212.5 total points threshold. Additionally, the teams have been allowing high scores to their opponents, with Grizzlies conceding 113.2 and Hawks 120 points in recent games. The model prediction also significantly overshoots the outcome point at 263.19, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Therefore, the Over 212.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks : Atlanta Hawks Over 107.5 Team Total Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Atlanta Hawks Over 107.5' in the Team Total Points market is backed by the Hawks' strong scoring record. Over their last five games, the Hawks have averaged 126.8 points per game, significantly above the total points outcome of 107.5. Even when considering just away games, the Hawks have maintained a high average of 117.2 points. This trend suggests their scoring capabilities far exceed the outcome point for this bet. Additionally, the model predicts a total of 135.08 points for the Hawks, reinforcing their high scoring potential. Despite a slightly less impressive away record, the Hawks' demonstrated scoring strength makes this bet a statistically sound choice.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks : Atlanta Hawks 1.5 (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Atlanta Hawks +1.5 is favored by recent scoring averages and head-to-head records. Over the last 5 games, the Hawks have scored an average of 126.8 points, 8 points higher than the Grizzlies. Although the Grizzlies have a strong home record (4-1), the Hawks have bested them in their last two encounters. Additionally, the Hawks have a better recent overall record (3-2) compared to the Grizzlies (2-3). The Hawks are also performing better on the road, scoring 117.2 points on average, suggesting that they can take on the Grizzlies at their home court. Altogether, these statistics suggest that the Hawks are more likely to cover the spread, making Atlanta Hawks +1.5 a strong bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks