On Monday 21 September 2026, Kansas City Chiefs play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 3.5 Rushing Attempts, priced at +114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 3.5 Rushing Attempts (+114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 3.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Noah Gray (KC) Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Noah Gray (KC) Under 11.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis Colts (+140)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Monday 21 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Indianapolis Colts. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Kansas City Chiefs v Indianapolis Colts. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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