On Wednesday 5 August 2026, Geelong Cats play Essendon Bombers in the AFL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 20.5 Disposals, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Archie Roberts hitting the Over 20.5 disposals mark against the Cats, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 24 disposals. Facing Geelong, he's even more potent, averaging 33 disposals in their last encounters. Roberts' recent form is red-hot, boasting a 79.8% disposal efficiency and gaining an impressive 446.2 meters on average per game. With his current hit streak and consistency, backing Roberts to eclipse 20.5 disposals feels like a smart play. Expect him to be a pivotal figure in Essendon's midfield battle at GMHBA Stadium, racking up possessions like a seasoned pro.

Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 21.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Archie Roberts. This young gun from Essendon is poised to make a real impact in the upcoming clash against the Geelong Cats at GMHBA Stadium. Roberts has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 24 disposals in his last five away games. His recent showdowns with the Cats have seen him notch an average of 30 disposals, showing he's no stranger to stepping up against this opposition. With his knack for finding the footy, combined with his impressive disposal efficiency hovering around 80%, Roberts is primed to surpass the 21.5 disposals line. Backing him to rack up the possessions is a smart play given his recent form and track record against Geelong. Get on board with Archie Roberts for a big night out on the field.

That is how our model reads Geelong Cats v Essendon Bombers. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Unlock all picks