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AFL

Lawson Humphries

Geelong Cats

+0.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -588 (1.17)
+0.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 5 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
86.1%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+0.6%
Predicted Value
14.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Lawson Humphries (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lawson Humphries is a solid pick to go over 9.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions. His recent form, especially at home, indicates he consistently surpasses this mark. With an average of 15.6 disposals in his last five home games and a streak of hitting this mark in 11 consecutive home games, Humphries is a reliable ball-winner. Additionally, facing Brisbane, he has historically performed well, averaging 16.5 disposals against them. His overall disposals average of 13 also supports this bet. Considering his current form and historical performance against the opponent, Humphries is likely to maintain his strong disposals output, making the over 9.5 disposals bet a sensible choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 70.0% (35/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
14 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
14 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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