On September 03, 2026 our model has run Hawthorn Hawks at Fremantle Dockers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Under 43.5 Team Total Points H1 (-111), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Under 43.5 Team Total Points H1 (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle has been getting it inside 50 about 8.1 more times a game than Hawthorn over their last 10 games. This shows they often have more chances to score, but both teams have won 7 of their last 10 matches, meaning they're evenly matched overall. Bet on Fremantle and Hawthorn to score under 43.5 points in the first half. One thing to watch is that Fremantle loses the contested ball by an average of 2.8 a game. This could mean they might struggle to keep the pressure on. With our numbers predicting a combined total of about 40.5 points, it looks like a smart bet to take the under here.

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Under 21.5 Team Total Points Q1 (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle has been really strong at home lately, getting it inside their 50 way more than Hawthorn. They average about 8.1 more entries into the scoring zone during their last ten games, which should mean plenty of chances to score. However, both teams have been winning about the same amount lately, with each taking 7 of their last 10 matches. While it's close, there's a good chance they'll combine for fewer than 21.5 points in the first quarter. Hawthorn tends to struggle with contested possessions, losing by just over half a possession a game, which might slow down their scoring early on. The risk here is that both teams could come out strong and surprise us.

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Fremantle Dockers -3.5 Spread Q2 (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle is getting inside their 50 about 6.7 times more per game than Hawthorn over their last ten matches. That means they are often getting better chances to score. Plus, Fremantle has won seven of their last ten games, showing they can play well at home. However, both teams are close when it comes to contested ball, with Fremantle losing by just under three each game. This makes it a bit tricky since the match could be tightly contested. Still, with Fremantle's home advantage and their strong performance lately, taking them to win by more than 3.5 points looks like a solid bet.

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Jarman Impey Over 13.5 Kicks (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jarman Impey has been playing really well lately, especially at Optus Stadium, where he averages over 8 marks and 6 score involvements in his last 10 games. With Fremantle and Hawthorn both having strong recent records, this game is shaping up to be competitive, but Impey's ability to get involved on the field gives him a solid chance to rack up kicks. While Fremantle gets the ball inside 50 more often, Hawthorn's been pretty good too, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The most concrete risk here is that both teams might end up battling hard for contested possessions, making it tougher for Impey to get those kicks. Still, the numbers suggest he can hit over 13.5 kicks today.

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Nathan O'Driscoll Over 14.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nathan O'Driscoll has been getting his hands on the ball a lot lately, and that's good news for this bet. He's been averaging over 14 disposals in recent games, and Fremantle is getting the ball inside 50 more often than Hawthorn. This means Nathan will likely have plenty of chances to make those disposals happen. One thing to remember is that both teams have been winning a lot recently, with each team taking 7 of their last 10 matches. That means the game could be quite competitive, and if it turns into a tough battle, it might impact Nathan's numbers. Still, betting on him to go over 14.5 disposals seems like a solid choice.

Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Karl Worner Over 69.5 Fantasy (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle's home ground, Optus Stadium, is where they play strong football, especially lately. They have been getting the ball inside 50 more often than Hawthorn, averaging about 8.1 extra times per game in their last ten matches. This could mean more scoring chances for Karl Worner, making the bet on him to go over 69.5 points a solid choice. Both teams have been performing well, with each winning 7 of their last 10 games. However, Fremantle does struggle a bit in contested ball situations, which could make things tricky for Worner. Still, with the way he has been playing and the opportunities he might get, it looks like he has a good shot to hit the over.

That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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