On Sunday 23 August 2026, Essendon Bombers play Port Adelaide Power in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals, priced at -400 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to putting your money where Angus Clarke is concerned, the stats are shouting from the rooftops. This bloke's been a disposal magnet, averaging a cracking 13.8 disposals in his last five home games. The lad's been slicing through opposition defenses like a hot knife through butter, racking up an average of 9.4 kicks per game. With a disposal efficiency hovering around a solid 79.8%, you can trust him to make those possessions count. Plus, his metes gained have been off the charts, averaging a whopping 268.8 per game. Facing off against Port Adelaide on home turf, Angus is poised to snag more than 9.5 disposals without breaking a sweat. Bet on Clarke to be in the thick of the action and back him to surpass that line with ease.

Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 10.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want someone consistent, reliable, and hungry for the footy. Look no further than Angus Clarke of the Essendon Bombers. Clarke, playing at home at Marvel Stadium against Port Adelaide, has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 13.8 disposals in his last five home games. With an impressive 79.8% disposal efficiency and an average of 9.4 kicks per game during this stretch, Clarke knows how to find the footy and make an impact. Plus, with his recent form showing 4 out of 5 home games hitting the mark, and a model predicting him to exceed 16 disposals, the odds are in his favor to snag Over 10.5 disposals against the Power. Get ready to watch Clarke split the middle with his pinpoint passes and dominate the possession game on Sunday.

Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Peter Wright stands out as a prime candidate to surpass the 9.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash at Marvel Stadium. Over his last five home games, Wright has been a consistent contributor, averaging 11 disposals with a notable 73.3% disposal efficiency. His ability to cover the ground is evident, averaging 151.8 meters gained per game. Against Port Adelaide, he has historically lifted his disposals output, averaging 8.8 disposals in their recent encounters. Wright's form and trend of hitting 9 out of 10 times in past home games further solidify his potential to shine in this matchup. With a model prediction of 12.9 disposals and a 9.4% edge, the data aligns in favor of Wright delivering in front of the home crowd. Bet confidently on Wright to rack up the possessions and impact the contest significantly.

That is how our model reads Essendon Bombers v Port Adelaide Power. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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