On Friday 21 August 2026, Essendon Bombers play Port Adelaide Power in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals, priced at -400 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Angus Clarke to go over 9.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Essendon Bombers and Port Adelaide Power, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Clarke has been a consistent force at home, averaging 13.8 disposals in his last five games at Marvel Stadium. His recent form shows a steady rise in key metrics like kicks (9.4) and metres gained (268.8), indicating his influence on the field. With a current hit streak of 5 in home games and an impressive contested possessions average of 3.2, Clarke is poised to make a significant impact. Factor in his solid disposal efficiency (79.8%) and knack for intercepts (2.6), and the Over on his disposals seems like a smart play. Clarke's ability to find the footy and create opportunities for his team makes him a reliable bet to surpass the 9.5 mark and contribute meaningfully to Essendon's efforts.

Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power: Essendon Bombers Win (+108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The Essendon Bombers are poised to snag a victory against the Port Adelaide Power at Marvel Stadium. Despite their recent struggles, the Bombers have shown promising signs, especially in their ability to generate inside 50s and contested possessions. In their last five home games, they've been relentless in midfield battles, averaging 35.8 total clearances and 125.2 contested possessions. Port Adelaide, on the other hand, has been conceding an average of 103.6 points in their last five away games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Essendon's offensive prowess can exploit. With these trends in mind, the Bombers look primed to kick through the big sticks and clinch a crucial win on their home turf.

Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port Adelaide) Over 1.5 player_tackles_over (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Darcy Byrne-Jones for this weekend's clash between Port Adelaide Power and the Essendon Bombers at Marvel Stadium. This seasoned defender has been a tackling machine, especially when playing away from home. In his last five away games, Byrne-Jones has been averaging 1.4 tackles per game, showing his ability to hunt down opponents relentlessly. When facing Essendon away, he's stepped up even more, hitting an average of 2 tackles per game. These numbers suggest he thrives under pressure, making life tough for the opposition. With the line set at 1.5 tackles, backing Byrne-Jones to go over seems like a smart move. His recent form and history against Essendon indicate he's primed to surpass that mark and make an impact defensively. So, lock in the Over for Darcy Byrne-Jones in the Tackles market and watch him wreak havoc on the field.

That is how our model reads Essendon Bombers v Port Adelaide Power. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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