Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Dallas Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Daniel Gafford, but betting the under on his rebounds at 8.5 seems intriguing. While Gafford has shown flashes of brilliance with an average of 11.2 rebounds over the last five games, his home performances tell a different story. In fact, he's managed just 8.6 boards per game at home recently, and against the Warriors, he's only pulled down 8.4 rebounds on average in their last encounters.Moreover, with a hit rate of just 66.7% in his last 15 games and a staggering 80% at home, Gafford's numbers suggest he's due for a regression. The Warriors can stretch the floor, limiting Gafford's opportunities to crash the boards effectively. Given these factors, targeting the under on Gafford's rebounds feels like a smart play in this matchup.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors head to Dallas, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but bettors might want to consider the under on his threes made, set at 1.5. In recent games, Green has been on a bit of a rollercoaster from beyond the arc. While he's averaged 2 threes in his last five outings, on the road, that number slips to just 1.4. Even more telling, against the Mavericks, he's only managed to sink a mere 0.2 threes per game when playing away. With Dallas tightening their perimeter defense, it's hard to see Green stepping up to hit the mark tonight. His overall hit rate stands strong at 8 out of his last 12 games, but that fades when he's away, where he's nailed it in just 10 of his last 14. With these trends, taking the under feels like a smart play.

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