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Kristaps Porzingis

Golden State Warriors

Value call

Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors) has one live pick today: under 20.5 pts asts that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
16.5 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.5% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +21.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 10:00 PM ET
Kristaps Porzingis
under 20.5 pts asts
Pts + Asts Under 20.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kristaps Porzingis is Under 20.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:52AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Porzingis (undisclosed) remains out indefinitely, per Anthony Slater of ESPN.com.
updated Oct 6, 8:04PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts73.5%—51.8%1.36+21.7%

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AI Analysis

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Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Assists (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Kristaps Porzingis is stepping into a tough matchup against the Phoenix Suns, and the under on his combined points and assists at 20.5 looks enticing. While he has had some success against the Suns, averaging 20.6 points in their last five encounters, recent form tells a different story. Over his last five games, he's been sitting at just 13.6 points and 2.4 assists, which drops further to 17.6 points and 3 assists on the road. The pressure of playing away could weigh on him, especially since he's only hit the mark two out of his last three road games. Adding to this, the Suns' defense is no slouch, likely forcing him into a less favorable rhythm. With an expected stat value of just 16.5 and a solid hit rate of 4 out of 5 on the under, it feels like a prime opportunity to ride the wave.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Kristaps Porzingis — 2024-25 season averages

Over 51 games in the 2024-25 season, Kristaps Porzingis averaged 17.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists in 27.7 minutes per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 39.0% from three-point range.

17.6
PPG
6.5
RPG
1.9
APG
0.8
SPG
1.4
BPG
27.7
MPG
46.6%
FG%
39.0%
3P%

Kristaps Porzingis — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kristaps Porzingis has played 18.2 minutes per game and started 40% of them.

18.2
MPG (L5)
5.8
PPG (L5)
40%
Started

Kristaps Porzingis — points hit rate

Kristaps Porzingis has scored over 15.5 points in 62% of 353 career games.

o11.580%
o12.576%
o15.562%
o20.536%
o25.517%

Kristaps Porzingis — home vs away scoring

At home Kristaps Porzingis averages 17.2 points per game; on the road, 17.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

17.2
PPG at home
17.9
PPG on the road

Kristaps Porzingis — scoring by opponent

Kristaps Porzingis scores most against the MIN, averaging 23.5 points per game in that matchup.

23.5
MIN
23.4
POR
22.8
HOU
21.6
MEM
21.6
GS
21.3
PHI

Kristaps Porzingis — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 9.1 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ NY24740
10 May@ NY19542
7 Mayvs NY14840
5 Mayvs NY13041
29 Aprvs ORL21921
27 Apr@ ORL221951
25 Apr@ ORL34761
23 Aprvs ORL3420100
20 Aprvs ORL26562
11 Aprvs CHA181152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 20.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs + Asts 26.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
23 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
23 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kristaps Porzingis is Under 20.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Friday 17 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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