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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kristaps Porzingis is Under 20.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +20.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:01AM UTC
NBA

Kristaps Porzingis

Golden State Warriors

+20.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 20.5 -114 (1.88)
+20.3% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
73.5%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
16.5 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts73.5%—53.2%1.36+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Kristaps Porzingis heads into this matchup against the Phoenix Suns, it's worth considering the under on his points and assists combined, set at 20.5. While he has the potential to light it up, recent trends suggest a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 13.6 points and 2.4 assists, which significantly undercuts that threshold. In fact, on the road, those numbers dip slightly to 17.6 points and 3 assists. Historically, against the Suns, Porzingis has managed 20.6 points, but that includes instances where he was more involved offensively. This time around, he faces a Suns team that's adept at limiting scoring opportunities. With his recent performance reflecting a hit rate of just 4 out of 5 games for the under, the signs point to a night where Porzingis may struggle to reach that 20.5 mark. Keep an eye on this one; it feels like

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
10.1avg · last 10
L56.6Szn19.5Home18.6Away20.1Best48
9+88%
14+75%
19+61%
24+25%
29+10%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 10.1 · hi 20 · lo 1
13720820101877

Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 10.1 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.5, best 48). He clears 19+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.1avg · last 10
L59.4Szn24.1Home24.0Away24.1Best55
14+80%
19+76%
24+59%
29+29%
34+16%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 14.1 · hi 30 · lo 4
161130132411412911

Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 14.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.1, best 55). He clears 24+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
15.1avg · last 10
L510.2Szn25.9Home25.5Away26.2Best57
16+80%
21+73%
26+61%
31+25%
36+16%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 15.1 · hi 30 · lo 5
1813301425125121111

Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 15.1 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.9, best 57). He clears 26+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 20.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs + Asts 26.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kristaps Porzingis is Under 20.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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