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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kristaps Porzingis is Under 20.5 on Points + Assists.
On the Points + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +20.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:55AM UTC
NBA

Kristaps Porzingis

Golden State Warriors

+20.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 20.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+20.3% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.5%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
16.5 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts73.5%—53.2%1.36+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Kristaps Porzingis heads into this matchup against the Phoenix Suns, it's worth considering the under on his points and assists combined, set at 20.5. While he has the potential to light it up, recent trends suggest a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 13.6 points and 2.4 assists, which significantly undercuts that threshold. In fact, on the road, those numbers dip slightly to 17.6 points and 3 assists. Historically, against the Suns, Porzingis has managed 20.6 points, but that includes instances where he was more involved offensively. This time around, he faces a Suns team that's adept at limiting scoring opportunities. With his recent performance reflecting a hit rate of just 4 out of 5 games for the under, the signs point to a night where Porzingis may struggle to reach that 20.5 mark. Keep an eye on this one; it feels like

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Pick History & Track Record

Kristaps Porzingis — 2024-25 season averages

Over 51 games in the 2024-25 season, Kristaps Porzingis averaged 17.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists in 27.7 minutes per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 39.0% from three-point range.

17.6
PPG
6.5
RPG
1.9
APG
0.8
SPG
1.4
BPG
27.7
MPG
46.6%
FG%
39.0%
3P%

Kristaps Porzingis — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kristaps Porzingis has played 18.2 minutes per game and started 40% of them.

18.2
MPG (L5)
5.8
PPG (L5)
40%
Started

Kristaps Porzingis — points hit rate

Kristaps Porzingis has scored over 15.5 points in 62% of 353 career games.

o11.580%
o12.576%
o15.562%
o20.536%
o25.517%

Kristaps Porzingis — home vs away scoring

At home Kristaps Porzingis averages 17.2 points per game; on the road, 17.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

17.2
PPG at home
17.9
PPG on the road

Kristaps Porzingis — scoring by opponent

Kristaps Porzingis scores most against the MIN, averaging 23.5 points per game in that matchup.

23.5
MIN
23.4
POR
22.8
HOU
21.6
MEM
21.6
GS
21.3
PHI

Kristaps Porzingis — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 9.1 points, 5.0 rebounds and 1.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ NY24740
10 May@ NY19542
7 Mayvs NY14840
5 Mayvs NY13041
29 Aprvs ORL21921
27 Apr@ ORL221951
25 Apr@ ORL34761
23 Aprvs ORL3420100
20 Aprvs ORL26562
11 Aprvs CHA181152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 20.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Kristaps Porzingis (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kristaps Porzingis is Under 20.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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