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NBA

Cooper Flagg

Dallas Mavericks

+25.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 33.5 -114 (1.88)
+25.1% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
78.3%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+25.1%
Predicted Value
28.1 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 33.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Cooper Flagg steps into the spotlight against the Phoenix Suns, it's worth considering a bet on the under for his combined points and rebounds at 33.5. Although he's had a strong season, averaging 30.4 points and 7.4 rebounds over his last five games, his away numbers paint a different picture. On the road, Flagg's scoring drops to a modest 23 points, and he's pulling down just 7.4 boards. Against the Mavericks, his numbers dip further; he's only averaging 21.5 points per game, and that trend continues away from home with just 27 points in their last matchup. With his overall hit rate showing a solid 75% over the last 20 games but an incredible 84.6% away, it's clear Flagg is due for a regression in a challenging environment. Given these factors, the under looks like a savvy play for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 90.5% (19/21)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 33.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 40.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Points 32.5 Under -227 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Points — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 21 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 90.5% (19/21). The latest model pick for Cooper Flagg is Under 33.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.1% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 9 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.