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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cooper Flagg is Under 32.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +23.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 8:07PM UTC
NBA

Cooper Flagg

Dallas Mavericks

+23.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 32.5 -114 (1.88)
+23.6% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Flagg (ankle) could be working alongside a new member of the starting lineup after Dallas selected Morez Johnson with the No. 9 overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft.
updated Jun 26, 6:46PM UTC · 26d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.8%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+23.6%
Predicted Value
27.4 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs76.8%—53.2%1.30+23.6%

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AI Analysis

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Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Cooper Flagg's matchup against the Phoenix Suns, the under on his points and rebounds total of 32.5 looks enticing. Flagg has averaged a solid 30.2 points and 6.2 rebounds over his last five games, but there's a noticeable dip when he hits the road, where his averages fall to 23.4 points and 6.8 rebounds. Given that he's playing away against a dynamic Suns team, historical performance against them reveals he's only managed 21.5 points per game in recent matchups. It's also telling that in his last 12 away games, he has hit the under in all of them. With his expected stat value sitting at 27.44, it feels like a calculated move to take the under. The stars may not align for Flagg on this trip, making this bet one worth exploring.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 100.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Cooper Flagg has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Cooper Flagg has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Cooper Flagg has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Cooper Flagg has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstSeason marketNo line posted

Cooper Flagg has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Cooper Flagg has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Cooper Flagg has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 32.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 48.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 30.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 100.0% on tracked Cooper Flagg picks. The latest model pick for Cooper Flagg is Under 32.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.6% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 9 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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