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Model picks & player props
Dallas Mavericks
VS
Charlotte Hornets

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 6:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Indoor
Wed 4 Mar 2026, 12:00AM
4
Game markets graded
7
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 132.5 Team Total -526

The model graded 11 markets for Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $119 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Mar 2026, 12:00AM at Spectrum Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win99.0%
The price says84.0%
Best price-526
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Under 132.5 High99% chance -526
Team Total High98% chance —
Team Total High91% chance —
Pts + Rebs × 1 prop Highup to 75% —
Pts + Asts × 3 props Highup to 74% —
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 2 props Highup to 97% —
Points × 1 prop Highup to 98% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NBA game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 132.5 · $100 returned $119

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Under
132.5
-526
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Mavericks

  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day

Charlotte Hornets

  • Brandon Miller FDay-to-day
  • PJ Hall CDay-to-day
Availability updated Aug 25, 3:58PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Daniel Gafford Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs
LaMelo Ball Charlotte Hornets Pts + Asts
P.J. Washington Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs + Asts
Miles Bridges Charlotte Hornets Pts + Asts
P.J. Washington Dallas Mavericks Pts + Asts

+ 7 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDallas Mavericks @ Charlotte HornetsNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets and Dallas Mavericks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadCharlotte Hornets spreadNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets (season record) meet Dallas Mavericks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineCharlotte Hornets to winNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets (season record) host or visit Dallas Mavericks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Charlotte Hornets totalNo line posted

Charlotte Hornets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Charlotte Hornets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets — what the model found

Our model graded 11 betting markets for Dallas Mavericks at Charlotte Hornets — 4 on the game itself and 7 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
7
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 11 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 10 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets — recent results

Charlotte Hornets have won 2 of their last 5 games; Dallas Mavericks have won 2 of their last 5.

Charlotte Hornets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L90–121ORLAway
W127–126MIAHome
W110–96NYAway
L100–118DETHome
L102–113BOSAway
Dallas Mavericks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W149–128CHIHome
L120–139SAAway
L107–112PHXAway
L103–116LACAway
W134–128LALHome

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Charlotte Hornets won 2, Dallas Mavericks won 0.

DateCharlotte HornetsDallas MavericksWinner
Mar 411790Charlotte Hornets
Jan 30123121Charlotte Hornets

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerStatus
Brandon Miller FDAY-TO-DAY
PJ Hall CDAY-TO-DAY
Dallas Mavericks
PlayerStatus
Santi Aldama FDAY-TO-DAY
Kyrie Irving GDAY-TO-DAY
Dereck Lively II CDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks. Includes analysis on key players like Daniel Gafford. Discover NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks stats and odds.

Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks) Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Get ready to place your wagers, folks, because Daniel Gafford is on the court and he's been nothing short of a dynamo on away games lately. When the Mavericks head to Charlotte, Gafford's uncanny knack for accumulating points and rebounds is something you can't ignore. He pulls in numbers like a magnet, averaging 13.4 points and 9.4 rebounds away from home. In the last five times he's squared off against the Hornets, he's drilled in an impressive 17.4 points and snagged a cool 11 rebounds on their turf. Over his last 16 games, he's surpassed the 13.5 points + rebounds mark a whopping 14 times. And on the road, he's hit this mark in 7 out of his last 8 outings. Gafford's over 13.5 for points and rebounds is a bet that exudes confidence. It's a bet that can give you an edge. So,

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
04 Mar 26 Team Total Under 132.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Mavericks vs Hornets, or as Hornets vs Mavericks. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 4 March 2026 at Spectrum Center. The model has generated 4 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Charlotte Hornets 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
4 Mar 2026Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets117–90Charlotte Hornets
30 Jan 2026Charlotte Hornets @ Dallas Mavericks121–123Charlotte Hornets
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