KaVontae Turpin (DAL) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on KaVontae Turpin to go under 16.5 reception yards is a data-driven decision, primarily based on his recent performance and long-term trends. Over the last five games, Turpin has consistently recorded low reception yards, suggesting he isn't a primary target in the Cowboys' offensive strategy. Additionally, the Giants' defense has performed well against opposing receivers, further limiting Turpin's potential to rack up yards. The model edge of 0.0923, though seemingly small, indicates a statistically significant advantage that should not be overlooked. This edge implies that the model's prediction of Turpin going under 16.5 reception yards has a slightly higher probability of occurring than the implied probability of the betting odds. Considering these factors, the under bet for Turpin's reception yards appears to be a statistically sound option.

CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on CeeDee Lamb to score a touchdown at any time during the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants game seems statistically feasible. Although Lamb's overall hit rate is below 50% (23/53), his performance improves when playing at home (13/26) indicating a hit rate of 50%. Furthermore, when specifically facing the Giants, Lamb's hit rate is at 50% (3/6). Lamb's performance against the Giants at home is less impressive with a 1/3 hit rate, but the sample size is smaller, potentially skewing the results. It's also worth noting Lamb's recent performance, with a 2/5 hit rate in his last five games overall, and the same rate against the Giants. Despite Lamb's current hit streak being at 0, his home and overall hit rates present a compelling case for a potential touchdown. The model edge of 0.039 also suggests a slight advantage for this bet.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro