Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaxson Dart is Under 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown.
On Interceptions Thrown, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 69%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 4:40AM UTC
NFL
Jaxson Dart
NYG
Jaxson Dart has one live pick today: Interceptions Thrown Under 0.5 that pays $176 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Interceptions Thrown
Under 0.5
-132 (1.76) · $100→$176
Value call
Dallas Cowboys
@
New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Mon 14 Sep, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Dart completed 23 of 29 passes for 230 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday's 28-20 win over the Cowboys. He also rushed 11 times for 54 yards.
updated Sep 14, 4:15AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Interceptions Thrown
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 69.5% · before adjusting for past results 69.5% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +12.7%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Interceptions Thrown | 69.5% | 69.5% | 56.8% | 1.87 | +12.7% |
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Jaxson Dart (NYG) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-132)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Giants play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Monday 14 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jaxson Dart (NYG) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (22 picks)
54.5%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD19 lines trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked19
Jaxson Dart's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 19 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards79 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–31.5model over95%tips tracked79
Jaxson Dart's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 79 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Passing Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–213.5model over94%tips tracked35
Jaxson Dart's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 14 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Interceptions Thrown |
0.5 |
Under |
-132 |
✓ HIT |
| 14 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
149.5 |
Over |
-714 |
✓ HIT |
| 14 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
169.5 |
Over |
-357 |
✓ HIT |
| 14 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Passing Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 14 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Pass Completions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 14 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Pass Attempts |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Jaxson Dart (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 54.5% on tracked Jaxson Dart picks. The latest model pick for Jaxson Dart is Under 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.7% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants on Monday 14 September at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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