Jaxson Dart has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
28 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 28.3% · before adjusting for past results 28.3% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap +20.0%.
Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Cowboys
@
New York Giants
Jaxson Dart
to score a touchdown
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 28 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$120.00
Odds+1100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaxson Dart is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 28 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 28%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 11:12PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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See every number
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 28.3% | 28.3% | 8.3% | 12.00 | +20.0% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Jaxson Dart (NYG) Yes Player last td (+1100)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Giants play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Monday 14 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jaxson Dart (NYG) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $120 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD19 lines trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked19
Jaxson Dart's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 19 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards79 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–31.5model over95%tips tracked79
Jaxson Dart's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 79 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Passing Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–213.5model over94%tips tracked35
Jaxson Dart's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Pass Attempts |
29.5 |
Under |
-111 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Interceptions Thrown |
0.5 |
Under |
-132 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
149.5 |
Over |
-588 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Pass + Rush Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Passing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants |
Passing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Jaxson Dart (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaxson Dart is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants on Sunday 13 September at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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