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NFL

Theo Johnson

NYG

+12.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Receiving Yards Under 18.5 -114 (1.88)
+12.3% Edge
Los Angeles Chargers @ New York Giants
New York
Model Probability
65.5%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+12.3%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Theo Johnson (NYG) Under 18.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data suggests that betting on Theo Johnson to finish under 18.5 reception yards in the New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers game is a smart move. Johnson’s recent performance supports this with his overall hit rate for the last 3, 5, and 10 games being 0/3, 0/5, and 0/10 respectively. His hit rate at home is also very low, with 0/3 in the last 3 home games, 1/5 in the last 5, and 2/6 in the last 10. The current hit streaks for both overall and home games are at zero. Additionally, the model edge of 0.122988701101327 indicates a statistical advantage. All these stats signal that Johnson is not expected to surpass 18.5 receiving yards, making the 'Under' bet a statistically sound decision.

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Pick History & Track Record

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