Theo Johnson has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $950 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
12 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 12.3% · the book's price implies 10.5% · gap +1.8%.
Latest Model PickFree
New York Giants
@
Washington Commanders
Theo Johnson
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD
Yes
+850 (9.50) · $100→$950
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 12 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$95.00
Odds+850
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Theo Johnson is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 12 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 12%, the price says 11%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:40PM UTC
Is Theo Johnson playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Theo Johnson is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Johnson caught his lone target for an 11-yard touchdown in Sunday's 36-24 win over the Cardinals.
updated Oct 6, 2:38AM UTC · 4d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 12.3% | — | 10.5% | 9.50 | +1.8% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Theo Johnson (NYG) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+850)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Washington Commanders play New York Giants in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Theo Johnson (NYG) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +850 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $95 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Theo Johnson's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+850 best over price · 14 books
Theo Johnson's anytime td line is posted, best over price +850 across 14 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · New York Giants @ Washington CommandersAnytime TD +850
Theo Johnson has a live NFL anytime td market for New York Giants @ Washington Commanders priced at +850.
Receiving Yards62 lines trackedNo line posted 19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over45%tips tracked62
Theo Johnson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 62 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions13 lines trackedNo line posted 0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–3.5model over84%tips tracked13
Theo Johnson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 13 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 04 Oct 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
Receiving Yards |
8.5 |
Over |
-108 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
8.5 |
Over |
-108 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
4.5 |
Over |
-189 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Theo Johnson (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Theo Johnson is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Washington Commanders on Sunday 11 October at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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