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MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Thu 30 Jul 2026, 2:11 PM ET
New York Yankees
VS
Chicago White Sox

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox and backs Under 12.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $230.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 12.5 total runs
Under 12.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00Best price+130
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win85.4%
The price says43.5%

The model graded 20 markets for New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $230 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 30 Jul 2026, 2:11 PM ET at Guaranteed Rate Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 12.5 High85% chance +130
Moneyline Members only High74% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean43% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean47% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only High66% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only High63% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean52% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox last met on Thu 30 Jul 2026: Chicago White Sox won 2-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
8
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut

Chicago White Sox

  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut
Availability updated Nov 10, 9:43PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA4.8Home L55-0vs New York Yankees L52-3

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA4.8Home L55-0vs New York Yankees L52-3

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
4.3runs we expect
L5 RF4.4L5 RA4.8Home L55-0vs New York Yankees L52-3

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.4 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–2CLEAway
L5–9CLEHome
L3–9CLEHome
W4–3CLEAway
W3–0CLEAway
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 3, New York Yankees won 4.

DateChicago White SoxNew York YankeesWinner
Jul 3021Chicago White Sox
Jul 2965Chicago White Sox
Jul 2823New York Yankees
Jul 2759New York Yankees
Jun 1851Chicago White Sox
Jun 17510New York Yankees
Jun 16212New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Brooks Baldwin LFOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Max Fried SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox prediction for July 30, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On July 30, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees: Under 8 Total Runs (-106), which we rate LONG-SHOT confidence. We walk through all 1 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Sox, or as Sox vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Thursday 30 July 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 30 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox beat New York Yankees 2-1 at home
  • 29 Jul 2026Chicago White Sox beat New York Yankees 6-5 at home
  • 28 Jul 2026New York Yankees beat Chicago White Sox 3-2 on the road

New York Yankees: last 5 results

  1. 7 Oct 2026Lostvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-4
  2. 5 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 2-5
  3. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 0-1
  4. 30 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-2
  5. 29 Sep 2026Wonvs Boston Red Sox 9-0

Chicago White Sox: last 5 results

  1. 10 Oct 2026Lostat Cleveland Guardians 0-2
  2. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 5-9
  3. 7 Oct 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 3-9
  4. 5 Oct 2026Wonat Cleveland Guardians 4-3
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonat Cleveland Guardians 3-0

Quick answers

Who won the last Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees game? Chicago White Sox won their last meeting 2-1 on 30 July 2026.

How have New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox done lately? New York Yankees won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Chicago White Sox won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox: the season so far

From every final score this season

New York Yankees are 95-71 this season and Chicago White Sox are 88-81. Chicago White Sox are 48-35 at home. New York Yankees are 47-36 on the road. Chicago White Sox score 4.8 runs a game and let in 4.4. New York Yankees score 4.6 and let in 3.7. Chicago White Sox games have averaged 9.2 runs in total; New York Yankees games have averaged 8.3. New York Yankees have lost their last 3 and Chicago White Sox have lost their last 3.

SeasonNew York YankeesChicago White Sox
Won-lost95-7188-81
At home48-3548-35
On the road47-3640-46
Last 105-56-4
Runs scored a game4.64.8
Runs let in a game3.74.4
Runs scored at home4.84.9
Runs scored away4.34.6
Against winning sides34-3426-38
Current runLost 3Lost 3
Biggest win16-1 vs Boston Red Sox22-1 vs Kansas City Royals
Heaviest loss12-2 vs New York Mets14-2 at Boston Red Sox

Teams they have both played

  • Against Cleveland Guardians: Chicago White Sox lost 0-2 on the road; New York Yankees won 8-4 on the road.
  • Against Houston Astros: Chicago White Sox won 7-3 on the road; New York Yankees lost 1-5 at home.
  • Against Colorado Rockies: Chicago White Sox won 4-2 at home; New York Yankees won 10-3 at home.

Quick answers

How are Chicago White Sox doing this season? Chicago White Sox are 88-81 this season: 48-35 at home and 40-46 on the road.

How many runs do New York Yankees score a game? New York Yankees score 4.6 runs a game this season and let in 3.7, across 166 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
New York Yankees 16–9 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 30 Jul 2026, New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox: the White Sox won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
30 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
29 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox6–5Chicago White Sox
28 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox2–3New York Yankees
27 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox5–9New York Yankees
18 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees1–5Chicago White Sox
17 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees10–5New York Yankees
16 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees12–2New York Yankees
25 Sep 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees5–3New York Yankees
24 Sep 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees8–1New York Yankees
23 Sep 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees3–2New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

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