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Model picks & player props
NFL
Chicago
Thu 22 Oct 2026, 8:15 PM ET
New England Patriots
VS
Chicago Bears

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears and backs Under 50.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $195.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 50.5 total points
Under 50.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.52Best price-105
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.5%
The price says51.3%

The model graded 70 markets for New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 22 Oct 2026, 8:15 PM ET at Chicago.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 50.5 High66% chance -105
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean49% chance Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 5 props Highup to 93% Members
Receiving Yards × 8 props Highup to 74% Members
Receptions × 6 props Highup to 65% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 5 props Leanup to 52% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 72% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 95% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 89% Members
Rush + Rec Yards × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
Rushing Attempts (Alt) × 2 props Leanup to 47% Members
Rushing Attempts × 4 props Highup to 65% Members
Anytime TD × 7 props Long-shotup to 17% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New England Patriots and Chicago Bears last met on Thu 22 Oct 2026: Chicago Bears won 30-24. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
50.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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New England PatriotsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New England Patriots

  • Carlton Davis III CBQuestionable
  • Christian Elliss LBQuestionable
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • A.J. Brown WRQuestionable
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker GOut

Chicago Bears

  • Anthony Johnson Jr. SOut
  • Kyle Monangai RBQuestionable
  • Colston Loveland TEQuestionable
  • D'Marco Jackson LBQuestionable
  • Coby Bryant SOut
  • Jack Sanborn LBQuestionable
  • Cole Kmet TEOut
  • Malik Muhammad II CBQuestionable
Availability updated Oct 31, 1:00AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears: Outdoors with 6 mph wind, 60°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind6 mph
Temperature60°F
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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The preview

Written 23 Oct

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks

On October 22, 2026 our model has run New England Patriots at Chicago Bears and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Hunter Henry Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots: Hunter Henry Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on Hunter Henry to get over 35.5 receiving yards looks solid. He made nearly 12 yards per catch last season, showing he can rack up yards quickly. The Bears have been more vulnerable to the pass than the run, which could give Henry plenty of chances to get the ball and gain yards. The game is close, though, and the Patriots' quarterback faced fewer extra rushers than the Bears' quarterback, which could affect how quickly plays develop. With both teams performing similarly against the line, it's hard to predict exactly how this will go. However, Henry's ability to gain yards after the catch makes this bet worth a shot.

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots: Hunter Henry Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on Hunter Henry to get over 35.5 receiving yards is looking promising. In 2026, he averaged nearly 12 yards per catch, which means he only needs about three receptions to hit this mark. The Bears' defense has had some trouble stopping opposing tight ends, making this a solid matchup for Henry to shine. That said, Henry was only targeted on a small portion of deep passes last season. While he has the skills to produce big plays, the risk is that he might not get enough opportunities to showcase them. Still, with both teams leaning more towards the pass, this could be a good day for Henry to rack up those yards.

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots: Rome Odunze Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (+111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Rome Odunze to go over 49.5 receiving yards look pretty appealing. Our numbers see this as a close matchup, and Odunze has been performing well lately, averaging 8.2 fantasy points over his last 15 games. The Bears' quarterback tends to throw more effectively than run, so Odunze could see plenty of action in the air. One risk to keep in mind is that both teams have been facing a decent amount of extra pressure on their quarterbacks, but Odunze's recent form suggests he can handle it. With the Bears at home and their offense leaning on the pass, there's a good chance he hits that yardage mark.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 22 Oct

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots Prediction & Same Game Parlay Picks

On Thursday 22 October 2026, Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards, priced at -118 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 19.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

A.J. Brown (NE) Under 4.5 Receptions (+121)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is A.J. Brown (NE) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at +121 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Efton Chism III (NE) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Efton Chism III (NE) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Chicago Bears v New England Patriots. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Corey Kiner NE Rushing Yards (Alt)
Rhamondre Stevenson NE Receiving Yards
A.J. Brown NE Receptions
Kalif Raymond CHI Receptions (Alt)
TreVeyon Henderson NE Rushing Yards (Alt)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew England Patriots to winNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadNew England Patriots spreadNo line posted

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPatriots @ BearsNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New England Patriots at Chicago Bears — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears — recent results

Chicago Bears have won 4 of their last 5 games; New England Patriots have won 3 of their last 5.

Chicago Bears — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W30–24NEHome
W31–23ATLAway
L7–31GBAway
W23–12NYJHome
W27–7PHIHome
New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–30CHIAway
W26–19NYJHome
W45–17LVHome
W29–26BUFAway
L6–35JAXAway

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Chicago Bears won 1, New England Patriots won 0.

DateChicago BearsNew England PatriotsWinner
Oct 233024Chicago Bears

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Bears
PlayerStatus
Anthony Johnson Jr. SOUT
Kyle Monangai RBQUESTIONABLE
Colston Loveland TEQUESTIONABLE
D'Marco Jackson LBQUESTIONABLE
Coby Bryant SOUT
Jack Sanborn LBQUESTIONABLE
Cole Kmet TEOUT
Malik Muhammad II CBQUESTIONABLE
New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Carlton Davis III CBQUESTIONABLE
Christian Elliss LBQUESTIONABLE
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
A.J. Brown WRQUESTIONABLE
Alijah Vera-Tucker GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears — model preview

Chicago Bears v New England Patriots, 23 October 2026. Top of the list: Hunter Henry (NE) Over 33.5 Receiving Yards. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On October 22, 2026 our model has run New England Patriots at Chicago Bears and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Hunter Henry Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Patriots vs Bears, or as Bears vs Patriots. The most recent game between them was Thursday 22 October 2026 at Chicago. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 22 Oct 2026Chicago Bears beat New England Patriots 30-24 at home

New England Patriots: last 5 results

  1. 22 Oct 2026Lostat Chicago Bears 24-30
  2. 18 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Jets 26-19
  3. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Las Vegas Raiders 45-17
  4. 4 Oct 2026Wonat Buffalo Bills 29-26
  5. 27 Sep 2026Lostat Jacksonville Jaguars 6-35

Chicago Bears: last 5 results

  1. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs New England Patriots 30-24
  2. 18 Oct 2026Wonat Atlanta Falcons 31-23
  3. 11 Oct 2026Lostat Green Bay Packers 7-31
  4. 4 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Jets 23-12
  5. 28 Sep 2026Wonvs Philadelphia Eagles 27-7

Quick answers

Who won the last Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots game? Chicago Bears won their last meeting 30-24 on 22 October 2026.

How have New England Patriots and Chicago Bears done lately? New England Patriots won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Chicago Bears won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 48.0 points (meetings on record since 2018)

Last meeting: Fri 23 Oct 2026, New England Patriots at Chicago Bears: the Bears won 30-24.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Oct 2026New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears30–24Chicago Bears
10 Nov 2024New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears3–19New England Patriots
24 Oct 2022Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots14–33Chicago Bears
21 Oct 2018New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears31–38New England Patriots
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