Carlton Blues vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Picks : Odds Analysis & Top Props

The bet on Under 168.5 in the Carlton Blues vs. Brisbane Lions game is supported by the recent performance data. Carlton's offensive struggles, averaging only 69.2 points in their last five games, face Brisbane's solid defense allowing just 62.8 points in their away matches. With the Blues struggling to hit targets, averaging only 9.8 target goals, and the Lions' strong defensive pressure leading to an average of 28.6 shots at goal against, a lower-scoring game is expected. Brisbane's ability to limit opposition scoring, combined with Carlton's offensive inefficiencies, makes the Under a favorable bet in this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)

Callum Ah Chee is a strong bet to score anytime against Carlton based on his recent form. With an impressive average of 1.8 goals in his last 5 away games and a solid goal accuracy of 53.3%, Ah Chee consistently delivers in front of the big sticks. Additionally, his high involvement in scoring plays, averaging 5.6 score involvements per game, indicates his active role in Brisbane's forward line. Facing an opponent he has historically scored against, averaging 1 goal in their last 5 encounters, Ah Chee's consistent goal-scoring ability makes him a reliable choice to snag a goal in this matchup.

Mitch McGovern (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-182)

Mitch McGovern is a solid bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games and a goal accuracy of 36.0%, he has been a consistent threat in front of goal. Additionally, his average of 1.8 goals overall in the same period shows his scoring prowess. Facing the Brisbane Lions, where he has averaged 0 goals in his last 5 matchups, McGovern will be motivated to improve this record. With an edge of 5.9% according to the model, the odds favor him snagging a goal at Marvel Stadium.

Ryan Lester (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-294)

Ryan Lester is poised to surpass 9.5 disposals in the upcoming away game against Carlton. His recent form showcases an average of 14 disposals in away matches, exceeding the line comfortably. Additionally, Lester has been efficient with a 77.2% disposal rate and strong in contested possessions and intercepts, indicating his involvement in the game. Facing Carlton, he has historically averaged 12.5 disposals, further supporting this bet. With a 3.4% edge and a consistent hit rate, Lester's performance trends suggest a high probability of exceeding the set line, making him a solid pick for this player prop bet.

Will Ashcroft (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-714)

Will Ashcroft is a consistent performer with an impressive average of 29.2 disposals in his last five away games. Facing Carlton, whom he averages 16.5 disposals against, Ashcroft's recent form and matchup history indicate he's likely to surpass the set line of 19.5 disposals. His high disposalefficiency (73.6%) and ability to gain metres (272.4 avg) further support his potential to meet or exceed this mark. With a strong hit rate (12/12 away, 10/10 overall) and a current hit streak of 12 away games, Ashcroft's reliability in accumulating possessions makes the Over 19.5 disposals bet a favorable choice for this fixture at Marvel Stadium.