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The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan Morris is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:17PM UTC
AFL

Logan Morris

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 9.5 that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
11.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.6% · before adjusting for past results 70.1% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap -7.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.1%45.6%53.5%2.08+16.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Logan Morris Over 9.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Logan Morris to get over 9.5 disposals are looking pretty good at -115. Our numbers show that Morris has been clearing the ball more than usual, with a rate of 0.5 clearances, while the average is just 0.2. This means he's been getting involved and making plays on the field, which bodes well for hitting that target. However, it's important to note that Morris has had some struggles in winning contests, sitting at 0 wins compared to the typical 0.6. If he can't secure those contested possessions, it could make reaching that disposals number a bit tougher. Still, given how well he's been performing lately, this bet has a strong chance to pay off.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Logan Morris averaged 8.2 disposals, 1.3 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

8.2
Disposals
1.3
Goals
3.5
Marks
0.6
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Logan Morris has cleared 9.5 disposals in 60% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.560%
o10.560%
o11.560%
o12.550%
o13.530%
o14.520%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Logan Morris is averaging 11.4 disposals per game over his last 5 and 10.8 in away games, including his recent form against Fremantle.

11.4
Disp · Overall
10.8
Disp · Away
10.0
Disp · vs Fremantle
3.6
Goals · Overall
2.6
Goals · Away
2.5
Goals · vs Fremantle

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Logan Morris recorded 10 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans10261
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats6250
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS2000
7 Sep 24Carlton12240
24 Aug 24Essendon12150
17 Aug 24Collingwood10052
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS8142
4 Aug 24St Kilda8230
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS15050
14 Jul 24West Coast Eagles9020
Quick answers:How many disposals does Logan Morris average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 1.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 1.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan Morris is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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