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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan Morris is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 92%, implied 72%, edge +19.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 12:34PM UTC
AFL

Logan Morris

Brisbane Lions

+19.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
+19.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 9:40AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
Predicted
2.6 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.8% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap +19.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals91.8%71.9%1.09+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 1.5 Goals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Logan Morris is locked in to snag a couple of goals when the Brisbane Lions face off against the Carlton Blues. In his last five away games, Morris has been an offensive powerhouse, averaging a solid 3 goals per game. With an impressive 53.2% goal accuracy and an average of 6 shots at goal, he's a constant threat in the forward line. Additionally, his knack for getting involved in scores, averaging 9.2 score involvements, showcases his impact on the game. Facing Carlton, where he has historically averaged 2 goals in their last five matchups, Morris is poised to continue his scoring streak. Backing him to go over 1.5 goals against the Blues is a smart play given his recent form and historical performance against this opponent.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Logan Morris averaged 8.2 disposals, 1.3 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

8.2
Disposals
1.3
Goals
3.5
Marks
0.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Logan Morris recorded 10 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans10261
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats6250
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS2000
7 Sep 24Carlton12240
24 Aug 24Essendon12150
17 Aug 24Collingwood10052
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS8142
4 Aug 24St Kilda8230
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS15050
14 Jul 24West Coast Eagles9020
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 1.5 Over -256 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals 1.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Goals 1.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan Morris is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 1 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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