Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 26.5 Rebounds + Assists (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets head into Phoenix, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to go under 26.5 combined rebounds and assists could be the smart play. Sure, he's a powerhouse, averaging nearly 12 assists and just under 12 rebounds lately, but the Suns possess a tricky defense that can limit his impact. When playing away, Jokic's numbers dip to about 10.6 assists and 15.2 rebounds, which, while impressive, suggests he might struggle to hit that lofty total tonight. Against Phoenix specifically, he's averaged just 10 rebounds and about 9.8 assists in his last outings. With a recent hit rate of 3 out of 4 on this under, it feels like Jokic might just fall short in a challenging matchup. With the odds favoring this under at 74.6%, it's a solid bet to consider as the Nuggets try to navigate the Suns' defense.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 11.5 Assists (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Phoenix Suns, Nikola Jokic stands out as a prime candidate for the under on assists at 11.5. While Jokic's playmaking skills are undeniable, recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit that mark tonight. In his last five games, he's averaged 12 assists, but on the road, that number dips to 10.6. Against the Suns, he's averaged 11.6 assists overall, yet when playing in Phoenix, this drops to just 9.8. With the Nuggets facing a fierce Suns defense, it's likely he'll be more focused on scoring or protecting the ball rather than racking up dimes. The implied probability of 66.2% shows that oddsmakers agree with this assessment. Given these insights, betting on Jokic to finish under 11.5 assists feels like a savvy move tonight.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs head into Memphis, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama. While the buzz is palpable, let's take a closer look at his performance metrics. Over the last five outings, he's averaged 23.8 points and 11.2 rebounds, which, when combined, puts him just shy of the 39.5 mark we're targeting. Playing away, his scoring dips to 20 points per game, and against the Grizzlies, he's netted only 21.4 points on average in their last meetings. Even more telling is his away rebound average of 11.4, which, when you consider the Grizzlies' physical frontcourt, could be challenging to maintain. With a hit rate of just 10 out of 11 away games, this matchup seems ripe for the under. So, while Wembanyama's talent is undeniable, the numbers suggest he might fall short of that lofty 39.5 total tonight.

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