Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 04/16 (5-Leg) : High Probability Plays

As the Clippers gear up to face the Warriors, targeting the under on Kawhi Leonard's rebounds at 9.5 presents a savvy play. Over his last five games, Kawhi has averaged just 6.4 rebounds, a figure that aligns perfectly with his trend of limited board work lately. Even against the Warriors, where he managed 8.4 in their past encounters, it's clear he's not the primary focus on the glass. The Warriors' fast-paced style often leads to fewer rebounds for players like Kawhi, who's more engaged in perimeter defense than crashing the boards. Plus, his overall hit rate has been flawless recently, with 20 straight games hitting the under in this category. With an expected stat value of only 6.6, you can see that 9.5 might be a stretch. As the game unfolds, we're likely to see more outside shooting than rebounding, making this under a compelling choice.

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Over 11.5 Points (-179)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes should be on Brandin Podziemski, especially when it comes to his points total. With an average of 19 points over his last five games, he's clearly found his rhythm, and his ability to score on the road has been impressive too, averaging 17.6 points in away games. Podziemski has been a scoring machine, particularly against this Clippers squad, putting up an average of 12 points in their recent matchups. In fact, he's hit the over on 11.5 points in 10 of his last 11 games, showcasing an incredible consistency that's hard to overlook. Given the Warriors' need for offensive firepower, Podziemski is poised to exceed that 11.5 mark once again. This matchup has all the makings for him to shine, making the over a compelling bet to consider.

Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) Under 35.5 Points + Assists (-192)

As we gear up for the Clippers' clash with the Warriors, targeting Kawhi Leonard for under 35.5 points and assists feels like a savvy play. Let's face it: Kawhi's recent numbers tell a compelling story. Over his last five games, he's been averaging about 25.6 points and 3.8 assists, which falls well short of that threshold. Even in home games, where you'd expect him to shine, those averages hold steady, suggesting he's not quite the offensive juggernaut we sometimes see.Moreover, the Warriors have proven to be a tough matchup, limiting opponents to an average of 26.8 points and 4.6 assists from the perimeter. Leonard's performance against Golden State has also dipped, with only 22.4 points and 3.8 assists in their recent meetups. With a hit rate of 9 out of his last 10 games landing under the mark, it's clear we have a solid foundation to back this

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-238)

In the upcoming clash between the Clippers and Warriors, Brandin Podziemski presents an enticing opportunity for an Over on his combined points and rebounds at 15.5. The young gun has been lighting it up lately, averaging 19 points and 2.2 rebounds over his last five games, and his away performances are particularly strong - he's hitting 17.6 points and snagging 4.4 boards on the road. Against the Warriors, he's had his struggles in the past, but with a hit rate of 10 out of his last 11 games overall, Podziemski is clearly in a groove, and the stats suggest he's poised to break through. Plus, given that he's exceeded this mark in 12 of his last 15 away games, it's tough to overlook the value here. Expect him to step up and deliver in this critical matchup.