Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When looking at Moussa Diabate's rebounding numbers, it feels like the stars are aligning for an "Under" on his 10.5 total against the Magic. Despite his solid recent performance, averaging 8.6 rebounds over his last five games, his away numbers dip to around 8 per game. Now, against the Magic, he has faced tougher rebounding battles, pulling down just 7 rebounds on average in their previous matchups. Adding to the narrative, his recent stretch shows a 5-out-of-6 hit rate for hitting the Under, shaped by an impressive 3-for-3 performance away from home. Given that his expected stat value hovers around 7.93, it seems clear that this matchup might be more about positioning than pure numbers. With the Magic's size in the paint, Diabate might find it challenging to reach that threshold, making the Under a compelling choice in this matchup.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets prepare to face the Orlando Magic, targeting Moussa Diabate for the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 12.5 feels like the smart play. Over his last five games, Diabate has averaged a solid 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists, but let's dig deeper. On the road, those numbers drop slightly to 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists. What's more telling is how he fared against the Magic in previous matchups, averaging just 7 rebounds and 1.2 assists. With Diabate's recent performance showing a hit rate of 75% on this under in his last four games, and a solid 67% away, it's clear he's been underwhelming in this category against Orlando. Given his expected stat value sits at just 9.06, the under seems not just plausible, but likely. This matchup could very well keep Diabate below that 12.5

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 4.5 Threes Made (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets head into Orlando, LaMelo Ball finds himself in a tricky spot for his three-point shooting. While he's averaged an impressive 5.2 threes over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story, resting at 5 per game. Against the Magic, who have a knack for defending the perimeter, he's only managed 3.2 threes in recent encounters, dipping to 3.8 when on the road. With his current form against this opponent, the numbers suggest he'll struggle to hit the over. Additionally, his hit rate of 7 out of 11 in away games is decent, but that's not enough to convince me he'll clear 4.5 tonight. Expect him to fall short, making the under a smart play as he navigates a challenging Orlando defense.

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