Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 04/18 (5-Leg) Featuring Jalen Green!: High Probability Plays

As the Warriors head into Phoenix, all eyes are on Draymond Green's assist numbers, and betting the under on 7.5 seems like a smart move. Despite his recent form, with an average of 8 assists over his last five games, a closer look reveals a trend that favors a lower output tonight. When playing away, Green's assists dip to an average of just 6.6. Against the Suns, he's consistently struggled, averaging 3.4 assists in their meetings, and that number doesn't change when he's on the road. Factor in that he's hit the under in 13 of his last 17 away games, and the writing seems to be on the wall. With Phoenix's defense geared to stifle playmakers, expect Green to find it tough to hit that 7.5 mark. This matchup screams value in taking the under on his assists.

Jerami Grant (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 9.5 Points (-149)

As the Portland Trail Blazers face off against the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes should be on Jerami Grant to exceed the 9.5 point mark. Grant has been on a tear lately, averaging 17.4 points in his last five games, and even more impressively, he's hit double digits in 12 of his last 14 away contests. The Spurs' defense isn't exactly a fortress; they've struggled to contain versatile scorers, making this a prime opportunity for Grant to exploit mismatches. Historically, he has averaged 15 points against San Antonio, but when playing on the road, that number dips slightly, which only adds to the intrigue of this matchup. With an expected stat value of nearly 18 points, the stars are aligning for Grant to deliver another strong performance. Given his recent form and the Spurs' defensive vulnerabilities, betting on Grant to go over 9.5 points feels like a savvy play.

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 27.5 Points + Assists (-233)

As the Phoenix Suns prepare to face off against the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Jalen Green. However, if you're considering a player prop, the under on his combined points and assists at 27.5 might just be the savvy play. Despite being at home where he averages a respectable 20.4 points and 2.4 assists in his last five games, Green has struggled against the Warriors. His recent outings against them show an average of just 9.6 points, and his home performance against this opponent barely scratches the surface at 14.6 points. With a hit rate of just 4 out of 5 against Golden State, it's clear they know how to keep him in check. So, while Green shines in many matchups, the numbers suggest he might find it tough to eclipse that 27.5 mark this time around.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-222)

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos. At first glance, a combined points and rebounds line of 20.5 might seem tempting, but a deeper dive hints at a different narrative. Santos has averaged just 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds over his last five outings, and even more telling, his numbers dip when he's away from home-averaging only 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds on the road. Against the Suns, he's managed a mere 7.2 points in their recent matchups, and the Warriors' offensive scheme may not play to his strengths tonight. With a hit rate of just 3 out of the last 4 games and 6 out of the last 8 on the road falling below that mark, betting the under on Santos feels like a savvy play in this matchup.