Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 36.5 Points + Assists (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Los Angeles Lakers prepare to face off against the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes are on Austin Reaves, but it might be wise to bet against his combined points and assists total exceeding 36.5. Recently, Reaves has averaged 20.8 points and 5.4 assists over his last five games, but those numbers drop when he's away from home, with just 21.6 points and 4.6 assists. The Mavericks' defense has a knack for stifling playmakers, and historically, Reaves has struggled against them - averaging just 13 points and 2.8 assists in his last away outings against Dallas. With a perfect hit rate in his last 10 games overall and 13 away, the trend suggests he's been reliable but not explosive. Given the Mavericks' defensive prowess and Reaves' away form, it's a calculated move to take the under on his combined points and assists, leaning into the numbers and recent performances.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but there's a compelling case to take the under on his combined rebounds and assists, set at 24.5. Sure, Jokic is a powerhouse, averaging 17 rebounds and 13.6 assists over his last five games, but his home performance against the Spurs paints a different picture. He's averaged just 12 rebounds and 8.8 assists against them at home, which brings his expected stat value to around 19.51-well below that 24.5 mark.Additionally, Jokic has hit the under in 5 of 11 home games recently, revealing a trend that suggests he might not be as dominant this time around. With the Spurs focusing their defense on him, it could be a night where he facilitates rather than fills up the stat sheet. In this matchup, the under seems like a savvy play.

Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers roll into Dallas, all eyes will be on Austin Reaves, but let's pump the brakes on those lofty expectations for his combined points, rebounds, and assists. While he's averaged a respectable 20.8 points over his last five games, his away performances tell a different story, with just 21.6 points and a dip in assists and rebounds. Facing the Mavericks, who play strong at home, Reaves has historically struggled, averaging only 13 points and 2.8 assists in Dallas. With a solid hit rate of 10 for 10 recently, it's crucial to note that the pressure of the road could stifle his output. Expect him to come in well below the 41.5 mark, especially with his away form suggesting he might not break the 30-point threshold when factoring in rebounds and assists. This matchup feels ripe for an UNDER play, and we're leaning into that narrative.

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